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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Anaheim Ducks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Anaheim Ducks

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dostal
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dostal
  4. P1 3:13Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Zellweger, Gauthier, Carlsson

  5. P1 4:05Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson4v5
  6. P1 4:13Carlsson: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · ANA Granlund, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe, Carlsson

  7. P1 4:41Shot by McTavish, saved by Johansson4v4
  8. P1 6:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal5v4
  9. P1 6:48Shot by Poehling, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 7:20Shot by Douglas, saved by Dostal
  11. P1 7:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal
  12. P1 7:55Shot by LaCombe, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 8:07Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 8:37Shot by Granlund, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 9:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dostal
  16. P1 9:10Goal by Guentzel (Hagel, Cirelli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · ANA Johnston, Poehling, Colangelo, Moore, Mintyukov

  17. P1 9:26Shot by LaCombe, saved by Johansson
  18. P1 9:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal
  19. P1 9:45Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Zellweger, Gauthier, Carlsson

  20. P1 9:48Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson4v5
  21. P1 10:04Shot by Carlsson, saved by Johansson4v5
  22. P1 10:34Shot by Granlund, saved by Johansson4v5
  23. P1 10:55Shot by Granlund, saved by Johansson4v5
  24. P1 11:19McTavish: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · ANA Killorn, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier, Sennecke

  25. P1 12:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Dostal5v4
  26. P1 12:42Shot by Hedman, saved by Dostal5v4
  27. P1 13:26Shot by McTavish, saved by Johansson
  28. P1 15:48Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal
  29. P1 15:58Johnston: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Trouba, Johnston, Poehling, Colangelo, Zellweger

  30. P1 15:58Lilleberg: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Trouba, Johnston, Poehling, Colangelo, Zellweger

  31. P1 15:58Johnston: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Trouba, Johnston, Poehling, Colangelo, Zellweger

  32. P1 15:58Lilleberg: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Trouba, Johnston, Poehling, Colangelo, Zellweger

  33. P1 18:22Shot by Poehling, saved by Johansson
  34. P1 19:03Shot by Zellweger, saved by Johansson
  35. P1 19:29Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  36. P1 19:45Shot by Moser, saved by Dostal
  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 1:21Shot by James, saved by Dostal
  40. P2 2:10Shot by Point, saved by Dostal
  41. P2 4:35Shot by Zellweger, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 4:42Goal by Trouba (Terry, McTavish)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Trouba, Terry, Nesterenko, McTavish, Zellweger

  43. P2 7:31Shot by James, saved by Dostal
  44. P2 7:56Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 8:00Shot by Helleson, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 8:08Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Dostal
  47. P2 8:32Shot by LaCombe, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 8:43Shot by Sennecke, saved by Johansson
  49. P2 9:27Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  50. P2 9:56Shot by James, saved by Dostal
  51. P2 10:08Shot by Vatrano, saved by Johansson
  52. P2 10:19Shot by Vatrano, saved by Johansson
  53. P2 12:19Goal by Guentzel (Point, Kucherov)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · ANA Helleson, LaCombe, Colangelo, McTavish, Sennecke

  54. P2 13:52Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  55. P2 14:07Shot by Cirelli, saved by Dostal
  56. P2 14:20Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Hedman)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · ANA Trouba, Colangelo, McTavish, Zellweger, Sennecke

  57. P2 16:40Shot by Zellweger, saved by Johansson
  58. P2 17:01Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  59. P2 17:18Colangelo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James · ANA LaCombe, Colangelo, Moore, McTavish, Sennecke

  60. P2 18:08Shot by Point, saved by Dostal5v4
  61. P2 18:50Shot by Terry, saved by Johansson5v4
  62. P2 19:28Shot by McTavish, saved by Johansson
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:42Shot by Point, saved by Dostal
  66. P3 2:40Shot by Vatrano, saved by Johansson
  67. P3 3:16Zellweger: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser · ANA Vatrano, Nesterenko, Colangelo, Moore, Zellweger

  68. P3 3:31Shot by Point, saved by Dostal5v4
  69. P3 4:47Gauthier: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, D'Astous · ANA Killorn, Helleson, LaCombe, Gauthier

  70. P3 4:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dostal5v3
  71. P3 5:13Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dostal5v3
  72. P3 5:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal5v4
  73. P3 5:43Shot by D'Astous, saved by Dostal5v4
  74. P3 6:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Johansson5v4
  75. P3 7:11Goal by Poehling (Johnston, Helleson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · ANA Johnston, Poehling, Helleson, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  76. P3 7:33Shot by Goncalves, saved by Dostal
  77. P3 8:06Shot by Gauthier, saved by Johansson
  78. P3 8:10Goal by Terry (Gauthier, Carlsson)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · ANA Trouba, Terry, LaCombe, Gauthier, Carlsson

  79. P3 10:00Shot by Point, saved by Dostal
  80. P3 10:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dostal
  81. P3 10:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dostal
  82. P3 13:07Shot by Trouba, saved by Johansson
  83. P3 13:13Shot by LaCombe, saved by Johansson
  84. P3 14:17Shot by Helleson, saved by Johansson
  85. P3 14:23Shot by Carlsson, saved by Johansson
  86. P3 14:33Shot by Trouba, saved by Johansson
  87. P3 15:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Dostal
  88. P3 15:42Johnston: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Johnston, Poehling, LaCombe

  89. P3 16:05Shot by Trouba, saved by Johansson5v4
  90. P3 16:45Goal by Cirelli (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+41 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli · ANA Killorn, Helleson, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final