Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Anaheim Ducks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.
78%
12%
TBL winsANA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ANA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Killorn–Gauthier–Carlsson | Terry–Gauthier–Carlsson | Nesterenko–McTavish–Sennecke | Terry–Poehling–Nesterenko | Colangelo–McTavish–Sennecke | Vatrano–McTavish–Sennecke | Granlund–Terry–Nesterenko | Killorn–Johnston–Poehling | Johnston–Poehling–Colangelo | Trouba–Zellweger | Trouba–LaCombe | Helleson–Mintyukov | Moore–Mintyukov | Helleson–LaCombe | Moore–Zellweger | Trouba–Mintyukov | LaCombe–Moore | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 2:190.00–0.14 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.11 | 1:210.00–0.19 | 1:500.00–0.02 | 1:220.00–0.19 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:540.04–0.00 | 1:080.30–0.00 | |||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 1:390.17–0.00 | 1:350.13–0.13 | 1:020.20–0.01 | 1:500.17–0.07 | 1:570.27–0.20 | 2:000.21–0.00 | 1:300.28–0.06 | 0:450.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | 1:510.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.04 | 1:570.08–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:240.07–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:150.00–0.17 | 1:300.75–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.23 | ||||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–James | 0:580.13–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.10 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.03 | 0:570.08–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:400.06–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 1:000.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Douglas | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:410.03–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Point–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 6:170.19–0.24 | 3:350.09–0.21 | 2:150.26–0.10 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 3:160.06–0.04 | 4:090.33–0.34 | 2:100.21–0.18 | 2:470.43–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Moser | 0:480.00–0.05 | 0:430.00–0.04 | 2:410.27–0.00 | 2:540.88–0.13 | 1:570.15–0.01 | 1:190.00–0.05 | 2:430.75–0.06 | 2:450.27–0.14 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 1:160.21–0.03 | 1:570.29–0.01 | 0:520.30–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.02 | ||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 1:560.03–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:260.02–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:070.03–0.17 | 1:260.00–0.06 | 1:310.09–0.01 | 2:320.05–0.00 | 1:370.04–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.01 | |||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 0:530.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Moser | 0:300.17–0.12 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLANAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jacob TroubaANA | 34 | 27:31 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 5 | 12 |
 Jackson LaCombeANA | 29 | 27:26 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 9 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 24:20 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 22:28 | 0:59 | 2:02 | 6 | 4 |
 Leo CarlssonANA | 30 | 22:20 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 2 | 10 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 30 | 20:56 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 9 | 8 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 20:54 | 1:00 | 2:02 | 6 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 20:43 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 6 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 19:58 | 0:48 | 2:21 | 4 | 7 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 19:49 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 19:48 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 5 | 4 |
 Drew HellesonANA | 28 | 19:29 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 4 | 3 |
 Troy TerryANA | 26 | 18:49 | 0:43 | 1:43 | 5 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 27 | 18:45 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex KillornANA | 28 | 18:15 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 2 | 7 |
 Cutter GauthierANA | 24 | 18:01 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Pavel MintyukovANA | 27 | 17:57 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Mason McTavishANA | 25 | 17:19 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 6 | 2 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 21 | 15:35 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Nikita NesterenkoANA | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Beckett SenneckeANA | 22 | 15:16 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 6 | 2 |
 Olen ZellwegerANA | 21 | 15:07 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 1 | 5 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 14:57 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 5 | 6 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 19 | 14:34 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan PoehlingANA | 23 | 13:25 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 2 | 6 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 13:14 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 12:18 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 21 | 12:14 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 5 | 7 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 12:10 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 |
 Frank VatranoANA | 17 | 11:26 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 8 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 18 | 10:31 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Ian MooreANA | 15 | 10:22 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Sam ColangeloANA | 14 | 8:11 | 0:35 | 0:55 | 2 | 2 |
 Ross JohnstonANA | 11 | 6:30 | 0:35 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Mikael GranlundANA | 9 | 6:07 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 4 | 2:46 | 0:42 | 0:56 | 1 | 2 |