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Ice Lab

Centre · #13

Nikita Nesterenko

Anaheim Ducks
Age
25
Shoots
Left
Height
188 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Brooklyn, USA
Draft
2019, round 6, #172 (MIN)

Career · 2022–23 to 2026–27

Games
65
Goals
8
Points
18
TOI per game
11:43
xGF% (5v5)
44.4%
Goals above expected
−1.5

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2022–23ANA9101−313:17234.3%02.237.7%
2023–24ANA3101011:31714.3%00.743.2%
2024–25ANA20426−410:192020.0%02.439.4%
2025–26ANA29189−212:15313.2%03.249.5%
2026–27ANA4101+111:20333.3%01.052.1%
Total1 team6581018−811:43849.5%09.544.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8102030405060
9m10m11m12m13m14m15m102030405060Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2022–23 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

31st percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.6340th pct
  • Assists /600.7939th pct
  • ixG /600.7547th pct
  • Goals above expected−1.548th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)44.4%19th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.4%26th pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.236th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.1659th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game11:4329th pct
  • PP time share2.5%21st pct
  • Offensive zone starts39.9%20th pct
  • Quality of competition24.3%51st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Tyler PitlickSTL0.93
  2. Adam Edstrom0.92
  3. Reid Schaefer0.89
  4. Jakub LaukoBOS0.89
  5. Alexey ToropchenkoSTL0.89
  6. Cole KoepkeBOS/WPG0.88

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−1.5 goals above expected

0246810102030405060Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed36.6 km/h96th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph559th pct
  • Hardest shot66.0 km/h4th pct
  • Distance skated6 km12th pct
  • Offensive-zone time39.0%30th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.2 km/h53rd pct

▼ −0.4 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373822–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 33.9 km/h, 2nd percentile (9 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 33.8 km/h, 2nd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 36.5 km/h, 64th percentile (20 games)2025–26: 36.2 km/h, 53rd percentile (29 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

8.379th pct

▼ −2.8 since 2024–25

05101522–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 3.0, 25th percentile (9 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 12.2, 92nd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 11.1, 90th percentile (20 games)2025–26: 8.3, 79th percentile (29 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.9 km73rd pct

▲ +0.5 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.522–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 15.7 km, 68th percentile (9 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 15.5 km, 51st percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 15.4 km, 34th percentile (20 games)2025–26: 15.9 km, 73rd percentile (29 games)

Hardest shot

136.2 km/h38th pct

▲ +6.3 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016022–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 132.0 km/h, 9th percentile (9 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 135.0 km/h, 18th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 129.9 km/h, 9th percentile (20 games)2025–26: 136.2 km/h, 38th percentile (29 games)

Offensive-zone time

39.9%21st pct

▲ +1.0 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%22–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 38.8%, 14th percentile (9 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 41.7%, 48th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 38.9%, 14th percentile (20 games)2025–26: 39.9%, 21st percentile (29 games)