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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Krebs, saved by Primeau
  3. P1 0:40Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Primeau
  4. P1 2:32Dunne: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Myers, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram, Dunne

  5. P1 2:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  6. P1 2:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  7. P1 4:03Shot by Domi, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  8. P1 7:05McCabe: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Joshua, Carlo, Roy · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Power, Kulich, Benson

  9. P1 8:50Shot by Quinn, saved by Primeau4v5
  10. P1 8:58Shot by Quinn, saved by Primeau4v5
  11. P1 9:15Shot by Power, saved by Primeau
  12. P1 10:09Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Dunne

  13. P1 10:17Shot by Dahlin, saved by Primeau4v5
  14. P1 10:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Primeau4v5
  15. P1 11:56Shot by Zucker, saved by Primeau4v5
  16. P1 11:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Primeau4v5
  17. P1 13:40Goal by Thompson (Kulich, Samuelsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Domi, Joshua, Myers, Benoit, Cowan · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Kulich, Benson, Metsa

  18. P1 14:18Shot by Byram, saved by Primeau
  19. P1 14:22Tuch: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan

  20. P1 14:22McCabe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan

  21. P1 14:22Tuch: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan

  22. P1 14:22Tuch: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan

  23. P1 14:37Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  24. P1 16:48Shot by Kulich, saved by Primeau
  25. P1 18:33Goal by Robertson (Cowan, Matthews)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Matthews, Robertson, Cowan · BUF Timmins, McLeod, Krebs, Byram, Doan

  26. P1 19:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:21Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Primeau
  30. P2 1:59Goal by Maccelli (Tavares, Knies)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Doan

  31. P2 2:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Primeau
  32. P2 3:32Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 3:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 3:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 4:21Samuelsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Maccelli, Knies · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Dunne

  36. P2 8:08Shot by Roy, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 9:16Shot by Ostlund, saved by Primeau
  38. P2 9:42Shot by Maccelli, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 10:54Shot by Myers, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 11:11Shot by Lorentz, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 11:21Shot by Cowan, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 12:35Shot by Dunne, saved by Primeau
  43. P2 14:01Shot by Benoit, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 14:23Goal by Byram (Timmins, McLeod)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Lorentz, Myers, Benoit · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan

  45. P2 14:46Shot by Ostlund, saved by Primeau
  46. P2 17:12Ekman-Larsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Joshua, Roy, Cowan · BUF Tuch, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan, Metsa

  47. P2 17:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:36Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 3:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 4:34Shot by Power, saved by Primeau
  53. P3 4:39Shot by Domi, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 6:25Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Joshua, Roy, Myers, Benoit, Cowan · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Dunne, Power

  55. P3 7:06Goal by Thompson (Zucker, Dahlin)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Knies · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Benson

  56. P3 7:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 8:07Shot by Quinn, saved by Primeau
  58. P3 10:21Shot by Tuch, saved by Primeau
  59. P3 12:21Shot by Krebs, saved by Primeau
  60. P3 13:10Goal by Joshua (McCabe, Carlo)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Joshua, Roy, Myers, Benoit, Cowan · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan

  61. P3 15:17Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Primeau
  62. P3 18:31Shot by Benson, saved by Primeau
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:38Shot by Dahlin, saved by Primeau3v3
  66. OT 1:28Goal by Tavares (Knies)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Knies · BUF Thompson, Quinn, Power

  67. OT 1:28Period end4v3
  68. OT 1:28Final3v3