Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Thompson–Kulich–BensonMalenstyn–Krebs–DunneTuch–McLeod–DoanZucker–Quinn–OstlundZucker–McLeod–DoanSamuelsson–DahlinTimmins–PowerTimmins–ByramSamuelsson–ByramDahlin–PowerTimmins–SamuelssonSamuelsson–PowerDahlin–MetsaByram–MetsaPower–MetsaTimmins–Dahlin
Matthews–Robertson–McMann6:010.06–0.171:150.00–0.201:080.06–0.151:190.00–0.002:290.02–0.023:200.05–0.411:130.00–0.091:490.04–0.110:490.00–0.001:100.06–0.000:350.00–0.00
Tavares–Maccelli–Knies1:380.07–0.003:060.25–0.002:250.23–0.091:170.00–0.003:110.35–0.001:020.00–0.001:290.06–0.001:190.00–0.071:410.21–0.02
Joshua–Roy–Cowan0:500.00–0.002:570.00–0.141:470.05–0.000:430.00–0.001:250.05–0.002:220.01–0.080:340.00–0.050:490.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Domi–Lorentz1:280.00–0.021:550.00–0.101:460.00–0.140:300.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Joshua–Lorentz0:360.00–0.00
McCabe–Carlo6:460.01–0.241:300.00–0.252:210.06–0.161:240.00–0.002:130.00–0.062:300.01–0.351:190.00–0.142:390.10–0.001:460.00–0.070:580.00–0.001:030.06–0.000:360.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly1:570.00–0.003:340.25–0.022:330.20–0.071:230.00–0.103:390.25–0.003:320.00–0.120:330.00–0.111:490.21–0.020:530.00–0.040:420.00–0.00
Myers–Benoit0:540.00–0.053:400.00–0.081:010.08–0.032:280.00–0.000:590.08–0.003:490.00–0.080:500.00–0.001:220.00–0.000:450.02–0.001:040.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Myers0:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.010:370.00–0.00
Carlo–Benoit
Rielly–Carlo
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndCowan FRoy FJoshua FMcMann FMatthews FRobertson FTavares FMaccelli FKnies FDomi FLorentz FJarnkrok FBenoit DMyers DMcCabe DCarlo DRielly DEkman-Larsson DPrimeau GKrebs FMalenstyn FDunne FBenson FKulich FThompson FMcLeod FTuch FDoan FZucker FQuinn FOstlund FTimmins DPower DSamuelsson DDahlin DByram DMetsa DLuukkonen G
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF2923:550:491:4033
Rasmus DahlinBUF2823:420:512:4045
Auston MatthewsTOR2723:240:522:1676
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2722:430:501:2263
Matthew KniesTOR2322:260:591:5355
Brandon CarloTOR3222:190:421:3816
Conor TimminsBUF2721:480:481:2723
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2920:170:422:0063
Zach BensonBUF2619:500:461:4960
Jake McCabeTOR2819:300:421:3316
Morgan RiellyTOR2619:290:451:2773
Tage ThompsonBUF2418:350:461:4970
Bowen ByramBUF2518:210:441:2242
Simon BenoitTOR2718:090:401:2401
Bobby McMannTOR2017:520:541:2031
Ryan McLeodBUF2517:470:431:4933
John TavaresTOR1917:230:551:5040
Philippe MyersTOR2516:540:411:3600
Nicolas RoyTOR2516:070:391:0624
Matias MaccelliTOR1715:270:551:5740
Jiri KulichBUF2215:240:421:1532
Jack QuinnBUF2015:190:461:1734
Josh DoanBUF2115:080:431:4951
Peyton KrebsBUF2615:040:351:0723
Nick RobertsonTOR1914:540:471:0642
Jason ZuckerBUF2014:540:451:4960
Beck MalenstynBUF2214:190:391:1124
Alex TuchBUF1913:340:431:1733
Dakota JoshuaTOR1912:550:411:1002
Josh DunneBUF1912:140:391:1221
Easton CowanTOR1610:580:411:1101
Calle JarnkrokTOR1410:340:451:0911
Max DomiTOR1610:290:391:1623
Noah OstlundBUF138:390:400:5420
Steven LorentzTOR128:360:431:1400
Zach MetsaBUF87:080:542:0601