Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
10%
43%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.08 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.19 | 27.4% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.05 | 29.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.03 | 65.6% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.02 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.59 | 68.8% | +37.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.12 | 59.5% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 23.8% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.03 | 77.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.31 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.34 | 32.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.12 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.17 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.19 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:39 | 0.09 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:08 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.22 | −1.8 | 61:28 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:24 | 0.17 | 31.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.20 | 83.0% | +71.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.00 | 47.5% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.02 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.02 | 30.6% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.04 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.03 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.09 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:23 | 0.68 | 87.9% | +71.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.11 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.31 | 86.7% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.18 | 32.0% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.05 | 21.0% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.12 | 70.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.08 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.13 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 61:28 |