Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 74% of the time.
67%
18%
PHI winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 31:42 | 0.37 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.09 | 16.5% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:15 | 0.21 | 19.2% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.29 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.12 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.02 | 50.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.19 | 18.6% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.21 | 52.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 30.8% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.26 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.06 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.25 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.04 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.57 | +1.6 | 65:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 28:18 | 0.03 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:09 | 0.10 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.39 | 93.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.07 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:33 | 0.57 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.40 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.09 | 60.0% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.22 | 53.9% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.54 | 93.7% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:28 | 0.46 | 59.9% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.14 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.34 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.11 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.03 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:53 | 0.07 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.11 | +0.1 | 64:44 |