Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Vegas Golden Knights 6, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 95% of the time.
92%
CAR winsVGK wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kolesar–Howden–Reinhardt | Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev | Barbashev–Eichel–Holtz | Smith–Saad–Karlsson | Saad–Barbashev–Eichel | Smith–Karlsson–Holtz | Hertl–Barbashev–Marner | Lauzon–Korczak | McNabb–Theodore | Hutton–Whitecloud | McNabb–Whitecloud | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | 3:090.26–0.22 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 1:050.00–0.13 | 3:470.08–0.02 | 2:160.08–0.00 | 5:120.17–0.07 | 0:530.00–0.13 | 5:560.25–0.02 | |||
| Ehlers–Aho–Jarvis | 1:020.00–0.00 | 4:160.07–0.40 | 2:040.17–0.75 | 1:120.06–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 5:480.04–0.39 | 5:020.22–0.80 | 0:320.06–0.00 | |||
| Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov | 2:460.00–0.63 | 3:570.14–0.37 | 1:100.19–0.08 | 1:370.08–0.00 | 3:100.06–0.25 | 5:310.30–0.42 | 0:590.05–0.50 | ||||
| Jankowski–Kotkaniemi–Nadeau | 6:150.09–0.51 | 0:400.01–0.17 | 2:350.01–0.17 | 3:020.02–0.51 | 2:230.07–0.01 | ||||||
| Staal–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 0:550.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Chatfield–Nikishin | 2:020.14–0.00 | 3:550.00–0.80 | 1:330.04–0.37 | 0:320.13–0.00 | 4:570.09–0.39 | 3:360.13–0.47 | 1:100.09–0.50 | ||||
| Walker–Nikishin | 0:480.09–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.18 | 1:460.21–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:460.07–0.18 | 3:390.27–0.00 | 1:360.12–0.00 | |||
| Walker–Fensore | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.04 | 1:330.01–0.75 | 2:110.13–0.00 | 2:230.01–0.04 | 2:260.00–0.79 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.00 | |||
| Fensore–Nystrom | 2:480.00–0.27 | 0:410.00–0.17 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.17 | 2:260.00–0.27 | 3:130.02–0.01 | ||||
| Gostisbehere–Chatfield | 1:060.00–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:570.03–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.04 | 2:190.09–0.05 | 1:420.06–0.00 | |||||
| Chatfield–Fensore | 1:250.00–0.46 | 1:070.00–0.10 | 1:080.00–0.31 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.22 | ||||||
| Walker–Nystrom | 1:350.00–0.13 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.13 | ||||||||
| Nikishin–Nystrom | 0:560.07–0.00 | 1:030.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Chatfield–Walker | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Fensore–Nikishin | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 33 | 27:33 | 0:50 | 2:12 | 3 | 10 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 31 | 26:18 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 10 | 6 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 33 | 25:45 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 7 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 32 | 24:04 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 5 | 6 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 28 | 21:43 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 4 | 2 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 30 | 21:28 | 0:43 | 2:02 | 7 | 7 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 25 | 21:27 | 0:51 | 2:43 | 8 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 21 | 21:14 | 1:01 | 2:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 28 | 19:59 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 4 | 2 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 23 | 19:41 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 7 | 2 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 23 | 19:29 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 6 | 5 |
 Domenick FensoreCAR | 27 | 19:22 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 4 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 23 | 18:03 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 6 | 5 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 17 | 16:11 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 4 | 0 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 24 | 15:53 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 3 | 8 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 21 | 15:49 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 16 | 15:43 | 0:59 | 1:44 | 4 | 0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 20 | 15:32 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 25 | 15:19 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 25 | 15:00 | 0:36 | 1:33 | 3 | 7 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 20 | 14:57 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 5 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 25 | 14:55 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 4 | 10 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 16 | 14:46 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 4 | 0 |
 Brett HowdenVGK | 19 | 14:06 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 2 | 5 |
 William KarlssonVGK | 18 | 14:02 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Alexander HoltzVGK | 21 | 13:39 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 7 | 1 |
 Cole ReinhardtVGK | 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 1:43 | 2 | 6 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 18 | 12:53 | 0:43 | 1:45 | 1 | 7 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 15 | 12:30 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach WhitecloudVGK | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Ben HuttonVGK | 14 | 11:39 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 1 | 4 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 14 | 11:03 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 17 | 10:31 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 4 |
 Bradly NadeauCAR | 15 | 9:21 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 4 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 15 | 8:58 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 4 | 2 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 10 | 7:19 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |