Tue, Oct 28, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Washington Capitals 0, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
36%
DAL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:12 | 0.16 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:11 | 0.11 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.10 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.31 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.18 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:23 | 0.71 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.09 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.02 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.37 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.04 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 95.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.40 | 99.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.07 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.24 | 89.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.95 | +0.9 | 58:14 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:38 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.18 | 41.1% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.11 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.27 | 36.7% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 4.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.16 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.65 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.22 | 22.7% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.83 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.01 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.01 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.10 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.28 | 0.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.15 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.03 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.82 | +2.8 | 60:00 |