Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 71% of the time.
64%
21%
OTT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:32 | 0.06 | 21.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:57 | 0.00 | 68.3% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.02 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.52 | 49.7% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.01 | 32.7% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.02 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.04 | 31.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:31 | 0.37 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.46 | 45.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.12 | 26.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.06 | 49.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.09 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.14 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.06 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.22 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.17 | 74.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.77 | +0.8 | 64:12 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 28:50 | 0.42 | 59.6% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 24:57 | 1.03 | 69.2% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:49 | 0.10 | 41.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.40 | 88.6% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.08 | 58.0% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.29 | 45.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.26 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 0.61 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.01 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.15 | 41.2% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.04 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.17 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.06 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.12 | 37.9% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 65:00 |