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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Dallas Stars 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Away

Dallas Stars

1

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Oettinger
  5. P1 1:37Shot by Goncalves, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 1:57Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 1:59Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 2:38Shot by Moser, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 3:45Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 4:08Shot by Gourde, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 5:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 5:27Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 10:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 11:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Oettinger
  16. P1 11:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 12:59Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 19:55Shot by Point, saved by Oettinger
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Oettinger
  22. P2 2:00Shot by D'Astous, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 3:00Shot by Capobianco, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 3:33Shot by McDonagh, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 4:29Shot by Point, saved by Oettinger
  26. P2 5:47Shot by D'Astous, saved by Oettinger
  27. P2 6:34Erne: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Goncalves, James · DAL Erne, Rantanen, Lyubushkin, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  28. P2 9:01Shot by Holmberg, saved by Oettinger
  29. P2 11:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 13:19Petrovic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · DAL Petrovic, Robertson, Harley, Bourque, Johnston

  31. P2 13:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Oettinger5v4
  32. P2 13:34Shot by Hedman, saved by Oettinger5v4
  33. P2 14:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by Oettinger5v4
  34. P2 15:02Goal by Hagel (Goncalves, D'Astous)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Goncalves, James · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen

  35. P2 15:24Shot by Harley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 17:25Shot by Capobianco, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 17:36Gourde: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · DAL Rantanen, Steel, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley

  38. P2 18:29Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:56Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P3 1:05Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P3 1:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Oettinger
  44. P3 2:03Goal by Erne (Petrovic, Faksa)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James · DAL Petrovic, Faksa, Erne, Bastian, Bichsel

  45. P3 2:30Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 4:47Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Oettinger
  47. P3 4:53Capobianco: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James · DAL Faksa, Erne, Capobianco, Bastian, Harley

  48. P3 6:02Shot by Hagel, saved by Oettinger5v4
  49. P3 9:15James: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg, James · DAL Seguin, Lindell, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque

  50. P3 10:14Cernak: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · DAL Seguin, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  51. P3 10:26Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  52. P3 10:27Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  53. P3 10:27Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  54. P3 10:39Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
  55. P3 12:17Johnston: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Gourde, Cernak, Hagel · DAL Seguin, Rantanen, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  56. P3 12:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Oettinger5v4
  57. P3 13:15Shot by Lindell, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  58. P3 13:46Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Oettinger5v4
  59. P3 14:11Shot by Bichsel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  60. P3 15:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Oettinger
  61. P3 16:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 18:34Shot by McDonagh, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Oettinger3v3
  66. OT 1:14Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  67. OT 1:53Shot by Point, saved by Oettinger3v3
  68. OT 2:36Goal by Cirelli, unassisted3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Hagel · DAL Rantanen, Heiskanen, Johnston

  69. OT 2:36Period end3v3
  70. OT 2:36Final4v4