Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
67%
20%
TBL winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Robertson–Bourque–Johnston | Seguin–Rantanen–Steel | Faksa–Erne–Bastian | Seguin–Rantanen–Robertson | Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston | Blackwell–Steel–Hryckowian | Seguin–Robertson–Bourque | Blackwell–Johnston–Hryckowian | Blackwell–Faksa–Hryckowian | Erne–Bastian–Johnston | Rantanen–Steel–Johnston | Steel–Bourque–Johnston | Lyubushkin–Harley | Lindell–Heiskanen | Petrovic–Bichsel | Lindell–Harley | Heiskanen–Harley | Capobianco–Heiskanen | Harley–Bichsel | Lindell–Lyubushkin | Petrovic–Harley | Lyubushkin–Bichsel | Petrovic–Capobianco | Petrovic–Heiskanen | Capobianco–Lyubushkin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 2:560.09–0.15 | 1:090.01–0.00 | 1:320.13–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:390.03–0.15 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 1:200.17–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 0:520.13–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 1:500.01–0.00 | 2:470.09–0.03 | 1:320.04–0.09 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 2:050.06–0.09 | 1:380.09–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.15 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | 0:510.65–0.03 | 1:050.11–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.15 | 0:520.65–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 1:240.00–0.15 | 0:520.09–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:260.24–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:510.18–0.25 | 1:400.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Point–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:000.09–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Hagel | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 5:340.28–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.09 | 2:120.26–0.03 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:400.10–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 2:200.07–0.00 | 0:560.65–0.03 | 0:590.11–0.00 | 1:200.17–0.00 | 1:360.67–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:540.06–0.16 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:530.17–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Moser | 3:550.23–0.16 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.23 | 0:540.09–0.04 | 1:370.18–0.28 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:400.06–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.14 | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 1:110.07–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:120.21–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:560.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 1:210.04–0.00 | 0:310.18–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:430.13–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.15 | 0:420.00–0.15 | 0:530.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Cernak–D'Astous | 0:490.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–D'Astous | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:300.00–0.11 | 0:300.00–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 28 | 26:49 | 0:57 | 3:02 | 3 | 2 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 25 | 25:58 | 1:02 | 2:58 | 3 | 5 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 24 | 23:37 | 0:59 | 3:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 23:32 | 0:56 | 2:09 | 2 | 3 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 24 | 23:32 | 0:59 | 2:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 24 | 23:17 | 0:58 | 3:22 | 4 | 2 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 21 | 21:59 | 1:03 | 1:46 | 1 | 7 |
 Tyler SeguinDAL | 22 | 21:48 | 0:59 | 3:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 25 | 21:42 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 21:14 | 0:58 | 3:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 27 | 20:57 | 0:47 | 1:56 | 6 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 20:56 | 0:55 | 2:10 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 20 | 20:51 | 1:03 | 2:14 | 5 | 0 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 29 | 20:40 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 9 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 24 | 19:53 | 0:50 | 3:19 | 3 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 22 | 17:42 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 0 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 17:04 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 18 | 15:53 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 0 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 21 | 15:27 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 19 | 15:26 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 18 | 15:07 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 14:24 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 17 | 13:11 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 14 | 13:09 | 0:56 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 13 | 12:29 | 0:58 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 12:28 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 16 | 12:06 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 18 | 11:42 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 2 | 0 |
 Alexander PetrovicDAL | 12 | 11:12 | 0:56 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 17 | 11:11 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 0 | 5 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 17 | 11:02 | 0:39 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 16 | 10:38 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 12 | 10:37 | 0:53 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 15 | 9:52 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Kyle CapobiancoDAL | 10 | 7:36 | 0:46 | 1:59 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan BastianDAL | 11 | 7:12 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |