Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
67%
20%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 26:49 | 1.04 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Miro HeiskanenD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:58 | 0.33 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:37 | 0.68 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Thomas HarleyD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:32 | 0.09 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler SeguinC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.06 | 11.7% | 0.0 |
 Sam SteelC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.08 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 Mavrik BourqueC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Lian BichselD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Radek FaksaC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 29.0% | +31.5 |
 Alexander PetrovicD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:12 | 0.12 | 41.4% | +31.5 |
 Colin BlackwellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.18 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
 Justin HryckowianC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.10 | 26.4% | +31.5 |
 Kyle CapobiancoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:36 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Nathan BastianRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake Oettinger#29 | O | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 4.32 | +2.3 | 62:16 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.69 | 69.4% | +27.5 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:42 | 0.48 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.13 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.52 | 64.5% | +50.9 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.56 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.19 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:53 | 0.07 | 87.0% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.13 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.01 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.10 | 78.9% | +27.5 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.03 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.15 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:11 | 0.75 | 78.0% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.09 | 79.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.12 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.21 | 83.6% | +27.5 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.08 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.77 | +1.8 | 62:36 |