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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)

Away

Washington Capitals

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lindgren
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Leonard, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 1:07Goal by Strome (Leonard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Kesselring, Byram, Doan · WSH Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun, Leonard

  6. P1 2:03Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Lindgren
  7. P1 2:15Goal by Protas (McMichael, Wilson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Dunne, Power · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  8. P1 2:30Goal by Thompson (Zucker, Greenway)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, Thompson, Kesselring, Byram · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Sourdif

  9. P1 4:37Shot by McMichael, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 4:39Wilson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Dunne, Power · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  11. P1 5:25Shot by Rosen, saved by Lindgren5v4
  12. P1 6:28Shot by McLeod, saved by Lindgren5v4
  13. P1 6:52Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 7:04Greenway: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Chisholm

  15. P1 7:04Wilson: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Chisholm

  16. P1 7:04Greenway: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Chisholm

  17. P1 7:04Wilson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Chisholm

  18. P1 7:04Wilson: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Chisholm

  19. P1 7:50Shot by Timmins, saved by Lindgren
  20. P1 9:34Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 10:02Goal by Tuch (Doan, Power)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Doan, Power · WSH Carlson, Milano, Beauvillier, Roy, Protas

  22. P1 11:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 15:40Shot by Kulich, saved by Lindgren
  24. P1 15:53Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lindgren
  25. P1 18:45Goal by Rosen (Quinn, Timmins)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Timmins, Quinn, Power, Rosen, Kulich · WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard

  26. P1 19:54Shot by Sourdif, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:56Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 0:58Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 2:42Shot by Lapierre, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 3:01Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lindgren
  33. P2 4:13Shot by Dunne, saved by Lindgren
  34. P2 6:05Shot by Dowd, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 6:20Tuch: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Doan, Power · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  36. P2 7:12Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  37. P2 7:23Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  38. P2 9:19Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 9:54Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 11:34Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lindgren
  41. P2 12:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 13:28Shot by Rosen, saved by Lindgren
  43. P2 14:16Leonard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Dunne · WSH Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Leonard

  44. P2 14:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  45. P2 15:15Shot by Doan, saved by Lindgren5v4
  46. P2 15:28Shot by Protas, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  47. P2 17:04Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 17:33Shot by Zucker, saved by Lindgren
  49. P2 19:04Shot by Roy, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P2 19:11Shot by Roy, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 19:17Goal by Milano (Roy, Fehérváry)+30 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Kulich · WSH Milano, Roy, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Leonard

  52. P2 19:17Byram: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Kulich · WSH Milano, Roy, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Leonard

  53. P2 19:17Leonard: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Kulich · WSH Milano, Roy, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Leonard

  54. P2 19:45Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:14Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lindgren4v4
  58. P3 1:08Shot by McMichael, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  59. P3 3:11Chisholm: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Power, Rosen · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chisholm

  60. P3 3:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  61. P3 6:09Krebs: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Greenway, Thompson, Timmins, Samuelsson · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Milano, Strome, Chychrun

  62. P3 7:04Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  63. P3 8:26Malenstyn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Kesselring, Krebs, Power · WSH van Riemsdyk, Milano, Chisholm, McMichael, Leonard

  64. P3 8:50Shot by Tuch, saved by Lindgren4v5
  65. P3 10:47Shot by Roy, saved by Luukkonen
  66. P3 10:55Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 11:28Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 11:47Shot by Doan, saved by Lindgren
  69. P3 12:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Lindgren
  70. P3 16:48Tuch: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Doan, Power · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Chychrun, Duhaime, Sourdif

  71. P3 18:46Shot by McLeod, saved by Lindgren4v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 1:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  75. OT 2:27Shot by Carlson, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  76. OT 3:05Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  77. OT 3:15Shot by Chychrun, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  78. OT 4:43Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  79. OT 4:57Shot by McLeod, saved by Lindgren3v3
  80. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Shot by Quinn, saved by Lindgrenother
  83. SO Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonenother
  84. SO Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Luukkonenother
  85. SO Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lindgrenother
  86. SO Goal by Byram, unassistedother
  87. SO Period endother
  88. SO Finalother