Sat, Nov 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
9%
52%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:05 | 0.53 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 27:21 | 0.45 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 22:13 | 0.34 | 45.5% | +14.6 |
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.09 | 65.8% | +29.8 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.33 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.45 | 70.5% | +11.9 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 68.2% | +29.8 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:27 | 0.42 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.05 | 51.0% | +11.9 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.01 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.13 | 55.2% | +11.9 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.04 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 Declan ChisholmD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.02 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin SourdifC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.06 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.14 | 40.3% | +14.6 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.14 | 79.5% | 0.0 |
 Sonny MilanoLW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.09 | 66.6% | +29.8 |
 Charlie Lindgren#79 | O | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.70 | −0.3 | 64:52 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:12 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.14 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.19 | 33.5% | +15.4 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.02 | 67.8% | +15.4 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.63 | 45.7% | +11.9 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.11 | 10.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael KesselringD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.33 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.03 | 64.6% | +19.4 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.11 | 30.7% | +19.4 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.30 | 26.9% | +15.4 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.16 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.12 | 55.1% | +11.9 |
 Isak RosenRW · #63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.23 | 44.8% | +19.4 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 80.8% | +11.9 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.03 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.19 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.32 | +0.3 | 64:28 |