Sat, Nov 1, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Ottawa Senators 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 64% of the time.
56%
8%
9%
27%
MTL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:08 | 0.13 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:05 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.01 | 58.4% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.30 | 55.8% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.42 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.09 | 34.2% | +27.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.30 | 50.6% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.86 | 65.4% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.14 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.16 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.06 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.13 | 26.5% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.02 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.01 | 4.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:04 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.48 | −0.5 | 61:40 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:02 | 0.11 | 30.5% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.18 | 88.1% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.04 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.06 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.07 | 27.1% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.28 | 26.0% | +10.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.30 | 27.1% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.48 | 73.1% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:03 | 0.39 | 73.1% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.02 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.11 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.47 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.52 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.10 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.06 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.29 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 2.65 | −0.3 | 61:40 |