Sat, Nov 1, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
9%
48%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:00 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 24.3% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 20:19 | 0.56 | 78.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.00 | 56.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.02 | 79.7% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.03 | 81.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:01 | 0.72 | 47.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.08 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.10 | 54.8% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.02 | 70.6% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.04 | 46.9% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:39 | 0.28 | 64.6% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.22 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.08 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.72 | 61.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.17 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.73 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 24:07 | 0.08 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.10 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.20 | 28.6% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 20:25 | 0.49 | 48.3% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.31 | 29.2% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.25 | 77.0% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.13 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.02 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:27 | 0.43 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.19 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.06 | 38.0% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.02 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.10 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.13 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:08 | 0.20 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 26.3% | +11.5 |
| – | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.72 | +0.7 | 15:41 | |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 1.79 | −2.2 | 40:33 |