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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 2, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Utah Mammoth

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

UTA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Guenther, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 1:32Shot by James, saved by Vejmelka
  4. P1 3:07Shot by Keller, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Gourde, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 3:51Shot by Moser, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 5:55Goal by Crouse (Cole)+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Maatta, Crouse, Carcone, McBain · TBL Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James

  8. P1 8:54Shot by Maatta, saved by Johansson
  9. P1 9:21Yamamoto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Maatta, Stenlund, Tanev, Yamamoto · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser

  10. P1 9:29Shot by Point, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  11. P1 9:29Shot by Point, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  12. P1 9:30Shot by Point, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  13. P1 9:31Shot by Hagel, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  14. P1 13:01Goncalves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Marino, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel, Moser

  15. P1 14:37Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson5v4
  16. P1 14:38Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Johansson5v4
  17. P1 15:17Goal by Gourde (Lilleberg, Girgensons)+17 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Marino, Tanev, Sergachev, McBain, Peterka · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  18. P1 19:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:19Shot by Goncalves, saved by Vejmelka
  22. P2 2:28Shot by Moser, saved by Vejmelka
  23. P2 2:47Goal by Cirelli (Guentzel, Hedman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Hayton · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Douglas, Moser

  24. P2 3:34Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Johansson
  25. P2 4:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 5:56Shot by Marino, saved by Johansson
  27. P2 7:27Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Johansson
  28. P2 7:29Cernak: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Stenlund, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Peterka · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg

  29. P2 8:01Shot by Keller, saved by Johansson5v4
  30. P2 8:03Shot by Gourde, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  31. P2 8:56Cooley: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Lilleberg

  32. P2 12:16Shot by Maatta, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 13:02D'Astous: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Stenlund, Tanev, Sergachev, Yamamoto · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  34. P2 13:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Johansson5v4
  35. P2 14:34Shot by Schmidt, saved by Johansson5v4
  36. P2 15:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 17:02Shot by Moser, saved by Vejmelka
  38. P2 17:30Shot by Hagel, saved by Vejmelka
  39. P2 18:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 18:18Shot by Cernak, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P2 19:45Shot by Crouse, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 19:56Shot by Carcone, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 19:58McBain: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Sergachev, Carcone, McBain · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  44. P2 19:58Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Sergachev, Carcone, McBain · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:31Shot by Sergachev, saved by Johansson4v4
  48. P3 0:52Shot by Schmidt, saved by Johansson4v4
  49. P3 2:21Goal by Yamamoto (Cole)+21 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Maatta, Stenlund, Yamamoto, McBain · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Moser

  50. P3 3:24Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson
  51. P3 5:28Shot by Marino, saved by Johansson
  52. P3 5:40Shot by Gourde, saved by Vejmelka
  53. P3 6:12Shot by Tanev, saved by Johansson
  54. P3 6:37Shot by James, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 7:39Shot by Carcone, saved by Johansson
  56. P3 9:37Shot by Hagel, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P3 9:57Shot by Schmidt, saved by Johansson
  58. P3 10:58Shot by McDonagh, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 12:06Goal by Guentzel, unassisted+27 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Maatta, Schmaltz, Keller, Hayton · TBL Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Moser, Lilleberg

  60. P3 12:41Shot by Cooley, saved by Johansson
  61. P3 12:58Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson
  62. P3 14:03Shot by Keller, saved by Johansson
  63. P3 14:34Shot by Cernak, saved by Vejmelka
  64. P3 16:51Shot by Crouse, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 17:01Carcone: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Carcone, McBain · TBL Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Goncalves, Moser, James

  66. P3 19:44Goal by Hagel (McDonagh)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final