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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 2, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

UTA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

UTA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gourde–Girgensons–HolmbergKucherov–Point–HagelBjorkstrand–Goncalves–JamesGuentzel–Cirelli–DouglasGuentzel–Cirelli–HagelKucherov–Guentzel–PointKucherov–Cirelli–HagelGuentzel–Point–CirelliMcDonagh–CernakD'Astous–LillebergHedman–MoserMoser–LillebergD'Astous–MoserMcDonagh–LillebergHedman–LillebergMcDonagh–MoserHedman–Cernak
Schmaltz–Keller–Hayton6:360.27–0.050:380.00–0.000:310.03–0.080:390.07–0.003:330.27–0.031:240.03–0.002:570.00–0.191:200.00–0.13
Peterka–Guenther–Cooley1:330.06–0.054:250.05–0.320:510.00–0.060:350.00–0.006:070.20–0.460:470.00–0.001:120.00–0.00
Stenlund–Tanev–Yamamoto0:450.00–0.021:230.13–0.071:500.03–0.001:350.00–0.001:260.00–0.003:110.03–0.070:390.00–0.021:270.13–0.00
Crouse–Carcone–McBain0:400.00–0.001:210.00–0.003:250.31–0.072:380.17–0.011:520.01–0.071:070.14–0.000:400.00–0.00
Crouse–Tanev–McBain0:480.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Cole–Maatta2:370.46–0.103:350.13–0.221:110.00–0.002:440.20–0.082:130.24–0.012:010.12–0.231:370.00–0.13
Schmidt–Marino4:200.07–0.111:350.00–0.080:310.00–0.004:110.07–0.092:050.03–0.001:310.00–0.09
Schmidt–Sergachev0:440.00–0.002:310.00–0.070:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:440.01–0.000:360.00–0.001:540.00–0.070:460.00–0.001:400.01–0.000:310.00–0.00
Sergachev–Simashev0:560.00–0.004:070.18–0.322:140.05–0.320:570.00–0.001:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Marino–Simashev1:330.06–0.000:480.00–0.060:560.00–0.001:540.06–0.061:120.01–0.06
Cole–Simashev0:340.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:390.05–0.001:140.00–0.00
Maatta–Simashev0:410.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Cole–Marino1:060.00–0.03
Cole–Sergachev0:380.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Maatta–Marino1:020.03–0.000:370.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchmaltz FKeller FHayton FGuenther FPeterka FCooley FMcBain FCarcone FCrouse FTanev FStenlund FYamamoto FMarino DSchmidt DSergachev DSimashev DCole DMaatta DVejmelka GGirgensons FHolmberg FGourde FPoint FKucherov FHagel FJames FBjorkstrand FGoncalves FGuentzel FCirelli FDouglas FD'Astous DLilleberg DMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DMoser DJohansson G
UTATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA2724:490:552:0124
Brandon HagelTBL2723:080:512:1073
Nate SchmidtUTA2921:550:451:5217
Ryan McDonaghTBL2621:550:511:4628
J.J. MoserTBL2521:020:501:3022
Erik CernakTBL2820:270:441:2817
Nick SchmaltzUTA2220:220:561:3552
Nikita KucherovTBL2520:190:492:1381
Victor HedmanTBL2320:080:532:1211
Clayton KellerUTA2220:010:552:0762
Emil LillebergTBL2419:230:481:1911
John MarinoUTA2718:430:421:1424
Logan CooleyUTA2318:300:481:3581
Dylan GuentherUTA2018:110:551:4261
Yanni GourdeTBL2517:330:421:1045
Dmitri SimashevUTA2517:260:421:3221
Barrett HaytonUTA2116:580:481:1343
Brayden PointTBL2216:520:461:4180
JJ PeterkaUTA2216:430:461:1641
Ian ColeUTA2216:320:451:5022
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2516:210:391:0945
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:190:472:1142
Jake GuentzelTBL1914:560:471:4651
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2014:300:441:1600
Pontus HolmbergTBL1914:080:451:2442
Kevin StenlundUTA1713:490:491:5812
Olli MaattaUTA1913:140:421:0430
Lawson CrouseUTA1812:410:421:1422
Jack McBainUTA1912:210:391:0021
Kailer YamamotoUTA1812:100:411:2822
Dominic JamesTBL1611:280:431:3122
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1610:360:401:0712
Michael CarconeUTA1510:260:421:0631
Brandon TanevUTA1610:220:391:1512
Gage GoncalvesTBL179:540:350:5922
Curtis DouglasTBL73:010:260:5310