Sun, Nov 2, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
20%
64%
UTA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:08 | 1.61 | 55.1% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.07 | 52.3% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.05 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.08 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.39 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.10 | 49.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 35.6% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:33 | 0.28 | 37.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.83 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.05 | 36.8% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.05 | 43.1% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.13 | 50.9% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.10 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.01 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:54 | 0.10 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 3:01 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.12 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.07 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.38 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.10 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.07 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.16 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.02 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.34 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.00 | 63.7% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.08 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.09 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 66.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.12 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:10 | 0.57 | 75.7% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.05 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.13 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.31 | −0.7 | 58:47 |