Mon, Nov 3, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.
13%
74%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:54 | 0.22 | 49.5% | +15.7 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:35 | 0.01 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.32 | 56.4% | +15.7 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 8 | 22:33 | 0.48 | 56.5% | +7.9 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 22:23 | 1.33 | 83.4% | +22.4 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.27 | 55.5% | +7.9 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.09 | 76.7% | +14.5 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Ville KoivunenRW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.30 | 88.9% | +14.5 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.21 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 94.8% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.08 | 52.2% | +15.7 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.14 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Harrison BrunickeD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.05 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Filip HallanderC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.24 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Owen PickeringD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Tristan Jarry#35 | L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 1.94 | −2.1 | 57:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:15 | 0.00 | 39.6% | +6.3 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.01 | 61.6% | +23.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 21:58 | 0.32 | 46.3% | +29.7 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.05 | 10.2% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.05 | 39.0% | +57.4 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:04 | 0.34 | 56.6% | +45.9 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 49.4% | +16.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 68.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.53 | 62.9% | +41.2 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.33 | 72.6% | +41.2 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.08 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.10 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.14 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 2.4% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 |
 Sammy BlaisLW · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 1.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.75 | +0.7 | 60:00 |