Mon, Nov 3, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.
13%
74%
TOR winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Novak–Koivunen–Kindel | Malkin–Crosby–Rust | Malkin–Mantha–Tomasino | Hallander–Dewar–Lizotte | Crosby–Rust–Hallander | Mantha–Tomasino–Kindel | Mantha–Lizotte–Tomasino | Mantha–Koivunen–Kindel | Crosby–Mantha–Koivunen | Letang–Shea | Karlsson–Wotherspoon | Pickering–Brunicke | Letang–Karlsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 0:560.04–0.00 | 2:440.18–0.00 | 1:030.04–0.00 | 2:470.22–0.00 | 3:270.04–0.01 | 0:340.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Joshua–Roy–McMann | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.12 | 2:310.14–0.09 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:150.14–0.09 | 2:200.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Matthews–Robertson–Knies | 0:580.00–0.13 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:290.21–0.21 | 0:490.07–0.21 | 1:360.07–0.54 | 2:560.21–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Tavares–Robertson–McMann | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:390.60–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.00 | 1:320.14–0.06 | 0:360.51–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | 2:250.02–0.19 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 1:250.00–0.14 | 1:090.14–0.08 | 1:590.02–0.08 | ||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Domi–Blais | 0:400.00–0.92 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 2:060.01–0.92 | 1:560.00–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Domi–Joshua–Cowan | 0:310.00–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Blais–Roy | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Myers | 1:050.06–0.01 | 2:540.00–0.11 | 0:590.07–0.08 | 0:560.07–0.21 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 4:540.18–0.33 | 0:550.00–0.19 | 2:310.02–0.01 | |||||
| Rielly–Carlo | 2:160.00–0.99 | 1:050.00–0.13 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:260.11–0.00 | 2:200.00–1.05 | 3:490.11–0.05 | 2:010.00–0.07 | ||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 1:330.00–0.11 | 2:020.09–0.04 | 1:260.14–0.21 | 2:070.24–0.31 | 2:530.14–0.09 | 2:100.00–0.04 | |||||||
| McCabe–Carlo | 2:460.02–0.12 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 4:360.00–0.13 | ||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:360.07–0.00 | 1:090.60–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.08 | 2:270.01–0.00 | 2:160.18–0.06 | 1:160.53–0.00 | |||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 2:270.00–0.07 | 0:410.14–0.00 | 2:130.07–0.00 | 0:500.14–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Myers | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:230.05–0.07 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 27 | 27:54 | 1:02 | 2:49 | 5 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 27 | 24:35 | 0:55 | 2:25 | 5 | 0 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 26 | 23:43 | 0:55 | 2:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 30 | 23:15 | 0:47 | 2:30 | 0 | 9 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 30 | 22:49 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 6 | 2 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 25 | 22:33 | 0:54 | 2:32 | 6 | 1 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 24 | 22:23 | 0:56 | 2:15 | 9 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 27 | 21:58 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 4 | 6 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 29 | 21:10 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 0 | 9 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 20:53 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 25 | 20:26 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 6 | 1 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 24 | 19:41 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 3 | 0 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 25 | 19:23 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 0 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 19:04 | 0:48 | 2:12 | 4 | 6 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 26 | 18:56 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 3 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 17:21 | 0:47 | 2:00 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 20 | 16:06 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 18 | 15:17 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 18 | 15:14 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 26 | 15:13 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 1 | 5 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 21 | 15:02 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 21 | 15:01 | 0:43 | 1:51 | 1 | 1 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 18 | 14:08 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Philip TomasinoPIT | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 20 | 13:18 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 0 | 2 |
 Harrison BrunickePIT | 17 | 12:39 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Filip HallanderPIT | 19 | 12:24 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 15 | 12:11 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 0 | 0 |
 Max DomiTOR | 16 | 11:20 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Owen PickeringPIT | 15 | 11:05 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 16 | 10:58 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 15 | 10:48 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 14 | 10:42 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Sammy BlaisTOR | 12 | 8:45 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 2 | 1:10 | 0:35 | 0:36 | 0 | 0 |