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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 5, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Utah Mammoth

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Marino, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Schmidt, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Domi, saved by Vanecek
  5. P1 3:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Vanecek
  6. P1 4:06Shot by Peterka, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 5:33Shot by Stenlund, saved by Stolarz
  8. P1 7:02Shot by Carcone, saved by Stolarz
  9. P1 12:56Tavares: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Robertson, McMann · UTA Cole, Maatta, Stenlund, Tanev, Yamamoto

  10. P1 14:04Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Stolarz4v5
  11. P1 15:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Vanecek
  12. P1 16:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek
  13. P1 18:08Shot by McMann, saved by Vanecek
  14. P1 18:49Goal by Carcone (Crouse)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Lorentz · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Sergachev, Carcone, McBain

  15. P1 19:01Shot by Simashev, saved by Stolarz
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:15Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stolarz
  19. P2 1:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek
  20. P2 1:23Shot by Carlo, saved by Vanecek
  21. P2 1:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Vanecek
  22. P2 1:46Shot by Cole, saved by Stolarz
  23. P2 4:46Goal by Nylander (Knies, Tavares)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Myers, Knies · UTA Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley, Simashev

  24. P2 5:36Shot by Carlo, saved by Vanecek
  25. P2 6:38Shot by Stenlund, saved by Stolarz
  26. P2 8:56Goal by Matthews (Maccelli, McCabe)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Joshua, Carlo, Matthews, Maccelli · UTA Cole, Maatta, Schmaltz, Keller, Hayton

  27. P2 10:35Laughton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Lorentz · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  28. P2 13:05Carlo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Robertson · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Yamamoto, Hayton, Peterka

  29. P2 13:07Shot by Myers, saved by Vanecek4v5
  30. P2 13:52Shot by Hayton, saved by Stolarz4v5
  31. P2 15:01Shot by Guenther, saved by Stolarz4v5
  32. P2 15:07Shot by Guenther, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 15:17Shot by Cole, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 16:27Goal by Sergachev (Simashev)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · UTA Stenlund, Tanev, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Simashev

  35. P2 0:00McBain: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Matthews, McMann, Knies · UTA Crouse, Marino, Sergachev, Carcone, McBain

  36. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 2:06Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  39. P3 2:07Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  40. P3 3:43Shot by Hayton, saved by Stolarz
  41. P3 4:11Shot by Keller, saved by Stolarz
  42. P3 4:21Shot by Robertson, saved by Vanecek
  43. P3 4:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Vanecek
  44. P3 8:06Goal by Tavares (McMann, Ekman-Larsson)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Robertson, McMann · UTA Cole, Marino, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  45. P3 10:06Shot by Maatta, saved by Stolarz
  46. P3 10:41Shot by Simashev, saved by Stolarz
  47. P3 15:40Goal by Maccelli (Joshua, Rielly)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Joshua, Roy, Maccelli · UTA Cole, Stenlund, Tanev, Sergachev, Yamamoto

  48. P3 16:03Shot by McBain, saved by Stolarz
  49. P3 17:01Goal by Knies (Nylander, McCabe)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Knies · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  50. P3 18:53Goal by Guenther (Schmidt, Marino)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Mermis, Joshua, Roy, Myers, Maccelli · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  51. P3 19:51Shot by Keller, saved by Stolarz5v6
  52. P3 19:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stolarz
  53. P3 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Final