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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 5, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsUTA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Schmaltz–Keller–HaytonCrouse–Carcone–McBainPeterka–Guenther–CooleyStenlund–Tanev–YamamotoSergachev–SimashevSchmidt–MarinoCole–MaattaCole–MarinoCole–SimashevMarino–SergachevMaatta–SimashevSchmidt–SergachevSchmidt–SimashevCole–SchmidtMaatta–SergachevMaatta–Schmidt
Nylander–Matthews–Knies8:130.26–0.332:260.00–0.041:100.00–0.034:420.10–0.363:460.16–0.020:460.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Joshua–Roy–Maccelli2:020.05–0.002:200.00–0.191:180.02–0.192:460.12–0.083:110.07–0.091:240.00–0.172:090.02–0.210:310.00–0.00
Tavares–Robertson–McMann2:470.00–0.022:050.34–0.003:300.18–0.001:220.00–0.001:550.22–0.002:360.00–0.020:580.12–0.001:110.10–0.000:350.08–0.00
Laughton–Domi–Lorentz3:170.28–0.292:090.00–0.150:580.00–0.001:060.05–0.022:520.08–0.141:300.15–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–McCabe7:050.00–0.291:120.05–0.093:220.12–0.021:290.23–0.034:230.05–0.333:140.00–0.001:380.00–0.021:090.12–0.001:030.10–0.001:240.00–0.090:510.00–0.000:350.00–0.02
Rielly–Carlo2:010.31–0.033:380.17–0.303:240.22–0.173:300.08–0.073:260.07–0.075:500.46–0.190:460.08–0.100:550.00–0.000:330.00–0.020:450.08–0.000:570.09–0.00
Mermis–Myers1:060.10–0.074:060.15–0.130:550.02–0.183:260.14–0.002:210.10–0.041:130.00–0.174:510.17–0.110:540.00–0.07
Rielly–Myers0:310.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:300.05–0.000:360.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:300.00–0.00
McCabe–Carlo0:400.00–0.040:380.00–0.04
Rielly–McCabe0:330.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRoy FMaccelli FJoshua FKnies FMatthews FNylander FRobertson FMcMann FTavares FDomi FLorentz FLaughton FMcCabe DEkman-Larsson DRielly DCarlo DMermis DMyers DStolarz GSchmaltz FKeller FHayton FGuenther FPeterka FCooley FMcBain FCarcone FCrouse FTanev FYamamoto FStenlund FSimashev DSergachev DMarino DSchmidt DCole DMaatta DVanecek G
TORUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA2724:260:542:0942
Jake McCabeTOR3423:420:421:2816
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3222:200:422:0414
Nick SchmaltzUTA2422:140:562:1681
Auston MatthewsTOR2520:440:501:1926
Clayton KellerUTA2320:340:541:5681
Morgan RiellyTOR2820:270:441:3432
Brandon CarloTOR2620:110:471:4923
Matthew KniesTOR2520:100:481:2726
John MarinoUTA2520:050:481:4761
Nate SchmidtUTA2619:340:451:4731
William NylanderTOR2419:280:491:2823
Logan CooleyUTA2018:520:572:5051
Dmitri SimashevUTA2318:280:481:4312
Dylan GuentherUTA2018:220:552:5961
Philippe MyersTOR2617:250:401:1312
Ian ColeUTA2117:100:491:4410
Barrett HaytonUTA2115:300:441:2241
Nicolas RoyTOR2115:110:431:1512
John TavaresTOR1915:050:481:2112
Dakota MermisTOR2113:580:401:3400
Dakota JoshuaTOR2013:510:421:0911
Michael CarconeUTA2113:510:401:2230
JJ PeterkaUTA1913:420:431:0921
Kailer YamamotoUTA1813:230:451:4002
Lawson CrouseUTA2113:220:380:5710
Jack McBainUTA2113:200:380:5820
Nick RobertsonTOR1713:180:471:1511
Kevin StenlundUTA2013:170:401:1832
Bobby McMannTOR1712:490:451:3201
Olli MaattaUTA1612:220:461:4400
Matias MaccelliTOR1612:070:451:0810
Steven LorentzTOR1611:300:431:0701
Brandon TanevUTA1711:090:391:0402
Scott LaughtonTOR1910:570:351:0303
Max DomiTOR1510:470:431:0301