Wed, Nov 5, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
64%
8%
20%
TOR winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:26 | 0.17 | 55.3% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.18 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.12 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.02 | 44.0% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.02 | 53.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.14 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.07 | 43.4% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.28 | 40.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.01 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.36 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.31 | 52.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.04 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.11 | 61.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.11 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.08 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.05 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 2.16 | −1.8 | 58:19 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.00 | 51.8% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.00 | 50.7% | +35.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.38 | 55.3% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.13 | 60.1% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.12 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.52 | 53.5% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.88 | 56.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.02 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.40 | 96.4% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.18 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.25 | 84.1% | +35.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.12 | 46.1% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.13 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.02 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.13 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.05 | −1.0 | 60:00 |