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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 5, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsUTA wins

Utah Mammoth

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mikhail SergachevD · #98101−1324:260.1755.3%+28.1
Nick SchmaltzC · #8000−2122:140.1854.0%0.0
Clayton KellerRW · #9000−2220:340.1252.7%0.0
John MarinoD · #60110120:050.0244.0%+0.2
Nate SchmidtD · #88011+2119:340.0253.1%+0.2
Logan CooleyC · #92000−2018:520.1437.9%0.0
Dmitri SimashevD · #260110218:280.0743.4%+28.1
Dylan GuentherRW · #11101−2318:220.2840.7%+0.2
Ian ColeD · #28000−3217:100.0132.2%0.0
Barrett HaytonC · #27000−1215:300.3650.1%0.0
Michael CarconeLW · #53101+1213:510.3152.1%+16.4
JJ PeterkaRW · #77000−2113:420.0438.9%0.0
Kailer YamamotoRW · #560000013:230.0021.0%0.0
Lawson CrouseLW · #67011+1013:220.1161.9%+16.4
Jack McBainC · #22000+1113:200.1152.9%0.0
Kevin StenlundC · #820000213:170.0825.8%0.0
Olli MaattaD · #2000−1112:220.0525.9%0.0
Brandon TanevLW · #130000011:090.0024.8%0.0
Vitek Vanecek#41L18144.7782.16−1.858:19

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22022+2023:420.0051.8%+25.1
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95011+2022:200.0050.7%+35.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1220:440.3855.3%+24.3
Morgan RiellyD · #440110320:270.1360.1%+8.8
Brandon CarloD · #25000+1220:110.1254.6%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23112+1120:100.5253.5%+18.0
William NylanderRW · #88112+1119:280.8856.0%+18.0
Philippe MyersD · #510000117:250.0260.3%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #550000015:110.0040.2%0.0
John TavaresC · #91112+2315:050.4096.4%+53.0
Dakota MermisD · #36000−1013:580.0045.6%0.0
Dakota JoshuaC · #81011+1013:510.0041.1%+8.8
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000+1313:180.1888.9%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74011+1112:490.2584.1%+35.8
Matias MaccelliLW · #63112+1112:070.1246.1%+33.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000−1011:300.1342.9%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #24000−1010:570.0231.4%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1110:470.1349.6%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W24213.8752.05−1.060:00