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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Compher, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 8:19Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 10:23Goal by Kane (Chiarot)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Compher, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Dunne

  5. P1 10:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 10:52Goal by Tuch, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Kesselring, Power

  7. P1 12:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis
  8. P1 16:23Shot by Raymond, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 16:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 19:20Shot by Quinn, saved by Gibson
  11. P1 19:39Shot by Danielson, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 0:00Period end
  13. P2 0:00Period start
  14. P2 1:04Shot by Timmins, saved by Gibson
  15. P2 1:35Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Ellis
  16. P2 2:38Shot by Kasper, saved by Ellis
  17. P2 3:28Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis
  18. P2 3:51Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis
  19. P2 3:52Goal by DeBrincat (Raymond)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Byram

  20. P2 4:11Shot by Greenway, saved by Gibson
  21. P2 4:18Shot by Doan, saved by Gibson
  22. P2 5:26Ostlund: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Appleton, Bernard-Docker, Seider, Kasper, Danielson · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Rosen, Ostlund

  23. P2 5:28Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis5v4
  24. P2 5:40Kane: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson

  25. P2 5:56Goal by Larkin (Raymond, Seider)4v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Power

  26. P2 7:35Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson4v5
  27. P2 8:29Dunne: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Rasmussen, Berggren, Sandin-Pellikka · BUF Malenstyn, Kesselring, Krebs, Dunne, Power

  28. P2 8:50Goal by DeBrincat (Raymond, Seider)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson

  29. P2 9:37Shot by Compher, saved by Ellis
  30. P2 12:13Shot by Raymond, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 13:22Shot by Kane, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 14:30Shot by Appleton, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 15:37Greenway: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Berggren, Sandin-Pellikka · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  34. P2 15:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Ellis5v4
  35. P2 17:12Shot by Danielson, saved by Ellis5v4
  36. P2 17:36Shot by Johansson, saved by Ellis5v4
  37. P2 17:58Goal by Doan (Dahlin, Byram)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Appleton, Johansson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Doan

  38. P2 18:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 18:20Shot by Doan, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 18:23Edvinsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Appleton, Berggren, Seider, Edvinsson · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Doan

  41. P2 19:57Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson4v5
  42. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:12Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson4v5
  45. P3 0:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
  46. P3 2:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
  47. P3 3:23Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 4:25Goal by Thompson (Doan, Ellis)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, Samuelsson, Doan

  49. P3 4:47Shot by McLeod, saved by Gibson
  50. P3 5:26Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson
  51. P3 5:37Edvinsson: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Doan, Power

  52. P3 6:10Shot by Rosen, saved by Gibson4v5
  53. P3 7:39Shot by Quinn, saved by Gibson
  54. P3 8:03Shot by Compher, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 8:05Krebs: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, Seider, Johansson, Finnie · BUF Greenway, Krebs, Byram, Power, Kozak

  56. P3 8:53Shot by Larkin, saved by Ellis5v4
  57. P3 9:28Goal by McLeod, unassisted5v4+37 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, McLeod, Power

  58. P3 10:13Berggren: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Compher, Berggren, Sandin-Pellikka · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Power

  59. P3 10:45Shot by Ostlund, saved by Gibson4v5
  60. P3 12:08Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson4v5
  61. P3 13:15Shot by Doan, saved by Gibson
  62. P3 14:11Shot by Quinn, saved by Gibson
  63. P3 16:01Shot by Raymond, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 16:36Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis
  65. P3 16:42Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis
  66. P3 17:27Quinn: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Compher, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Ostlund

  67. P3 17:42Shot by Kane, saved by Ellis5v4
  68. P3 18:51Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis5v4
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 1:05Goal by Samuelsson (Thompson, Dahlin)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  72. OT 1:05Period end3v4
  73. OT 1:05Final4v4