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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malenstyn–Krebs–DunneGreenway–Doan–KozakTuch–Thompson–McLeodQuinn–Rosen–OstlundTuch–Thompson–DoanThompson–Quinn–DoanGreenway–Krebs–KozakMcLeod–Quinn–OstlundTuch–McLeod–RosenSamuelsson–DahlinTimmins–ByramKesselring–PowerDahlin–ByramDahlin–PowerTimmins–PowerTimmins–SamuelssonByram–PowerTimmins–DahlinKesselring–Byram
Kane–Compher–Finnie1:200.27–0.002:470.22–0.120:360.00–0.030:450.23–0.002:270.05–0.003:470.53–0.031:290.01–0.111:040.00–0.15
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond0:430.00–0.004:090.34–0.321:470.07–0.210:580.00–0.001:290.00–0.002:390.32–0.002:220.02–0.411:160.01–0.000:360.06–0.000:350.00–0.21
Appleton–Kasper–Danielson1:400.00–0.071:070.00–0.001:540.02–0.180:430.00–0.000:370.00–0.003:540.02–0.001:030.00–0.071:450.00–0.340:530.00–0.000:560.02–0.00
Copp–Rasmussen–Berggren3:070.20–0.001:060.00–0.001:300.00–0.003:080.20–0.002:190.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka2:430.26–0.073:410.03–0.122:550.00–0.211:210.07–0.000:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.004:360.04–0.013:340.26–0.033:420.00–0.451:080.00–0.150:520.01–0.001:030.06–0.000:410.01–0.00
Seider–Edvinsson0:370.00–0.014:290.34–0.390:410.00–0.000:330.00–0.211:400.03–0.220:490.00–0.003:150.02–0.003:280.52–0.082:000.00–0.321:200.03–0.220:380.00–0.000:410.00–0.21
Bernard-Docker–Johansson3:170.25–0.001:160.01–0.000:460.02–0.003:010.25–0.000:570.00–0.001:510.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Seider–Johansson0:550.23–0.000:470.00–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Edvinsson0:540.02–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRaymond FLarkin FDeBrincat FKane FFinnie FCompher FCopp FRasmussen FBerggren FAppleton FDanielson FKasper FSeider DEdvinsson DChiarot DSandin-Pellikka DJohansson DBernard-Docker DGibson GMcLeod FThompson FTuch FGreenway FKozak FDoan FKrebs FMalenstyn FDunne FQuinn FRosen FOstlund FSamuelsson DDahlin DTimmins DByram DKesselring DPower DEllis G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3227:050:512:1762
Moritz SeiderDET3224:390:462:0837
Ben ChiarotDET3224:320:461:2125
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET2722:590:511:2223
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2922:310:471:4733
Dylan LarkinDET2921:530:451:4156
Bowen ByramBUF2720:280:451:2510
Ryan McLeodBUF3219:200:361:0246
Conor TimminsBUF2518:510:451:4737
Alex TuchBUF3118:200:351:0065
Tage ThompsonBUF2618:070:421:4280
Alex DeBrincatDET2518:040:431:4353
Owen PowerBUF2817:350:381:1653
Patrick KaneDET2017:060:512:0750
Lucas RaymondDET2416:470:421:4863
Jack QuinnBUF2116:420:482:1560
Josh DoanBUF2416:100:401:2142
Simon EdvinssonDET2316:050:421:4813
Marco KasperDET2015:470:471:5221
J.T. CompherDET2315:440:411:2733
Mason AppletonDET1915:270:491:4732
Noah OstlundBUF1915:140:481:3450
Isak RosenBUF1814:320:481:3560
Emmitt FinnieDET2014:260:431:1930
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET1813:560:461:3623
Albert JohanssonDET2113:360:391:0813
Peyton KrebsBUF2113:220:381:2514
Jordan GreenwayBUF2213:010:361:2912
Tyson KozakBUF2112:580:371:1513
Andrew CoppDET2012:200:371:1925
Nate DanielsonDET1612:120:461:3811
Beck MalenstynBUF1711:280:401:1904
Michael RasmussenDET1811:250:381:0226
Michael KesselringBUF1510:590:441:2011
Jonatan BerggrenDET159:250:381:0831
Josh DunneBUF118:140:451:2903