Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.
43%
9%
10%
39%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 27:05 | 0.23 | 58.8% | +54.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.18 | 56.3% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.20 | 35.4% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.15 | 56.5% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.22 | 56.3% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:07 | 0.78 | 70.1% | +61.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.36 | 91.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.30 | 71.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.07 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.21 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.07 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.03 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.04 | 94.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.99 | −1.0 | 61:02 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.15 | 50.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:59 | 0.00 | 43.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.04 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.46 | 44.2% | +11.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −3 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.70 | 42.7% | +27.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.41 | 66.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.15 | 38.7% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.05 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.45 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.04 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.05 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.11 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.02 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.17 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.15 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.05 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.83 | −2.2 | 60:30 |