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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 28, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 0:32Shot by Moser, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 1:17Shot by Hagel, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 3:41Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 4:24Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:45Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:41Shot by Hagel, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 6:12Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:48Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 8:14Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 9:22Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 11:29Goal by Compher (Rasmussen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Edvinsson · TBL Guentzel, Paul, Santini, Goncalves, Carlile

  16. P1 12:29Shot by Holmberg, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 14:22Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 14:31Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 14:47Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 16:06Shot by James, saved by Gibson
  21. P1 16:31DeBrincat: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, D'Astous, Lilleberg, James

  22. P1 17:07Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Guentzel)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh

  23. P1 19:04Shot by Moser, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 19:50Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:34Goal by Goncalves (Bjorkstrand, Paul)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Appleton, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  28. P2 1:01Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:26Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 2:56Shot by Gourde, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 2:59Shot by Gourde, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 3:01Goal by Gourde, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Danielson · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Lilleberg

  33. P2 3:13Goal by Rasmussen (Compher)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Appleton, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  34. P2 5:21Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 6:06Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 6:28Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 8:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  38. P2 10:50Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 11:43Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 12:19Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 13:39Shot by Carlile, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 15:36Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 16:04Shot by Girgensons, saved by Gibson
  44. P2 16:09Goal by Gourde, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Copp, Danielson, Sandin-Pellikka · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Carlile

  45. P2 16:56Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:00Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 17:47Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gibson
  48. P2 18:26Goal by Larkin (Raymond, Edvinsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · TBL Guentzel, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  52. P3 3:41Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 9:13Hagel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  54. P3 9:35Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P3 9:37Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  56. P3 10:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  57. P3 11:30Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 11:32van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Copp, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser, Lilleberg

  59. P3 11:32Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Copp, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser, Lilleberg

  60. P3 11:37Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  61. P3 12:14Shot by Hagel, saved by Gibson4v4
  62. P3 12:37Goal by Guentzel (Raddysh, Kucherov)4v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Moser

  63. P3 12:56Shot by Cirelli, saved by Gibson4v4
  64. P3 13:05Shot by Hagel, saved by Gibson4v4
  65. P3 13:49Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 13:51Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 13:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 15:20Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 15:30Shot by Paul, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 17:05Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  71. P3 17:13Goal by Hagel (Raddysh)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  72. P3 18:39Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 19:47Shot by Finnie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final