Fri, Nov 28, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
53%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 24:04 | 0.18 | 45.5% | +33.2 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.07 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:30 | 0.14 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:56 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:40 | 0.46 | 55.2% | +32.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.22 | 36.8% | +32.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:21 | 0.81 | 78.4% | +31.6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.15 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.18 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:19 | 1.14 | 59.0% | +1.2 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.19 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.10 | 35.2% | +16.6 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 37.8% | +16.6 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.02 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Steven SantiniD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.09 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.25 | 34.3% | +16.6 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:25 | 0.00 | 2.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.44 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:43 | 0.12 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:57 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.05 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.02 | 54.2% | +16.3 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.53 | 38.1% | +16.3 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.33 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.13 | 33.6% | +16.3 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.16 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.63 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.10 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.10 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.20 | 61.5% | +31.1 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.26 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:01 | 0.41 | 63.7% | +31.1 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.19 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Nate DanielsonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.13 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 John Gibson#36 | L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.39 | −1.6 | 59:22 |