Fri, Nov 28, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Ottawa Senators 3, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
9%
44%
STL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:18 | 0.02 | 36.1% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.52 | 62.9% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.20 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.22 | 61.6% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17:12 | 0.75 | 64.8% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.28 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.07 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.06 | 62.9% | +24.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.31 | 69.1% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.12 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.19 | 47.1% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 57:13 |
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:53 | 0.11 | 41.5% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.13 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.03 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 71.8% | +21.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.11 | 39.3% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.17 | 58.3% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.01 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.08 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.18 | 86.8% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.43 | 47.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 14:14 | 0.48 | 64.1% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 54.3% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.34 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.19 | 51.3% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.08 | 42.4% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.10 | 47.3% | +23.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.16 | 57.5% | +36.8 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.81 | −0.2 | 59:33 |