Fri, Nov 28, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Montréal Canadiens 4, Vegas Golden Knights 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 64% of the time.
28%
56%
VGK winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:13 | 0.03 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:01 | 0.06 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.05 | 37.0% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:29 | 1.05 | 67.7% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.06 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.59 | 64.6% | +30.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.29 | 31.9% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.00 | 52.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.81 | 55.0% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.37 | 49.6% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.24 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 24.6% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.38 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.07 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.11 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.03 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.06 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 3.38 | +2.4 | 59:28 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.07 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 20:00 | 0.23 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.05 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.33 | 81.0% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.18 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.09 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.36 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 78.2% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 16:01 | 0.96 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.01 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.19 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:08 | 0.38 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 65.6% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.31 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.17 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.03 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 2.62 | −0.4 | 58:48 |