Mon, Dec 1, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
41%
8%
10%
41%
PHI winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.09 | 21.5% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 59.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.03 | 55.7% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.04 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.18 | 56.1% | +44.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:13 | 0.65 | 59.8% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.01 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.12 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.10 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.32 | 44.8% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.15 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.09 | 27.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.06 | 49.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.45 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.13 | 31.1% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.06 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:39 | 0.28 | 73.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.74 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.16 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:37 | 0.52 | 55.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.24 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.43 | 26.6% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.22 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.12 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.03 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:56 | 0.11 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:22 | 0.42 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.02 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.16 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.05 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:50 | 0.25 | 18.3% | +17.1 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.76 | −2.2 | 60:00 |