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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Islanders 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

New York Islanders

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:07Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 1:40Shot by Schaefer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:30Paul: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Barzal, Heineman, Mitchell · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Moser

  9. P1 6:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin5v4
  10. P1 9:04Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:44Shot by Shabanov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:48Shot by Shabanov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:59Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:05Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 11:26Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 12:32Shot by Douglas, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 12:53MacLean: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Mitchell, Tsyplakov · TBL D'Astous, Douglas, Goncalves, Lilleberg, James

  18. P1 16:37Shot by Ritchie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:44Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:27Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 19:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:22Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 0:53Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 0:55Goal by Horvat (Shabanov)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  27. P2 1:20Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 1:37Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 1:52Shot by Carlile, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 2:12Shot by Goncalves, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 3:49Ritchie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Pulock, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  32. P2 4:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  33. P2 5:46Shot by D'Astous, saved by Sorokin4v5
  34. P2 6:47Shot by Holmberg, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 7:10Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 7:13Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 8:04Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 8:11Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 10:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 10:35Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 12:02Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 12:22Shot by Carlile, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 12:35Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 15:53Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 17:39Raddysh: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Moser

  46. P2 18:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:39Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 1:03Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Heineman, Mitchell, Shabanov · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  51. P3 1:22Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P3 4:13Shot by Ritchie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 4:17Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 5:30Goal by Duclair (Ritchie, DeAngelo)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Santini, Holmberg, Carlile

  55. P3 6:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 7:09Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:42Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 7:54DeAngelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie · TBL Raddysh, Hagel, Goncalves, Moser, James

  59. P3 11:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:45Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 13:22Shot by Moser, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 13:23Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 15:07Shot by Holmberg, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 16:26Goal by James (Lilleberg, Paul)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · TBL Paul, Goncalves, Lilleberg, Carlile, James

  65. P3 18:19Shot by Raddysh, saved by Sorokin5v6
  66. P3 18:37Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final5v6