Tue, Dec 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Islanders 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
32%
8%
52%
NYI winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Paul | Douglas–Goncalves–James | Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | Guentzel–Goncalves–James | Kucherov–Guentzel–Paul | Gourde–Girgensons–Goncalves | Raddysh–Moser | D'Astous–Lilleberg | Santini–Carlile | Lilleberg–Carlile | Moser–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Drouin–Barzal | 2:060.00–0.52 | 2:580.02–0.15 | 2:210.00–0.44 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.07 | 3:320.03–0.15 | 2:410.00–0.74 | 1:340.00–0.20 | 0:590.00–0.06 | ||||
| Duclair–Holmstrom–Ritchie | 2:190.08–0.15 | 4:020.22–0.23 | 1:040.15–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.07 | 1:490.00–0.22 | 3:250.13–0.10 | 2:190.21–0.06 | 0:320.05–0.00 | |||||
| Horvat–Heineman–Shabanov | 5:360.39–0.18 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 4:360.34–0.39 | 2:080.05–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.12 | |||||||
| Cizikas–MacLean–Tsyplakov | 1:520.09–0.00 | 2:040.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:360.14–0.00 | 2:420.21–0.00 | 1:430.15–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.04 | |||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 1:120.14–0.32 | 2:200.16–0.06 | 3:510.14–0.55 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 1:340.14–0.00 | 4:480.35–0.50 | 3:550.18–0.12 | 2:160.11–0.37 | |||||
| Pulock–Schaefer | 5:130.20–0.52 | 1:060.00–0.11 | 0:330.10–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.07 | 4:000.20–0.25 | 1:580.00–0.52 | 3:120.10–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Mayfield–Mitchell | 2:350.00–0.20 | 2:360.00–0.15 | 1:320.06–0.09 | 1:350.06–0.00 | 3:440.15–0.20 | 2:450.05–0.20 | 2:040.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Schaefer | 0:500.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:030.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:360.05–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.11 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:300.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 0:350.05–0.00 | 0:410.05–0.00 | 0:420.05–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 26:35 | 1:16 | 3:29 | 6 | 0 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 25:28 | 1:06 | 3:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 24:16 | 1:01 | 3:30 | 5 | 2 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 29 | 23:50 | 0:49 | 2:41 | 1 | 6 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 24 | 22:48 | 0:57 | 2:03 | 5 | 0 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 23 | 22:22 | 0:58 | 2:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 22:17 | 0:58 | 2:37 | 3 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 26 | 21:39 | 0:50 | 3:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 21:31 | 1:01 | 3:20 | 7 | 0 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 24 | 21:21 | 0:53 | 2:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 24 | 20:39 | 0:52 | 2:16 | 0 | 3 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 24 | 19:57 | 0:50 | 2:30 | 0 | 4 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 21 | 19:31 | 0:56 | 2:34 | 0 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 25 | 19:23 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 25 | 18:54 | 0:45 | 1:58 | 2 | 4 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 18 | 17:01 | 0:57 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 22 | 16:40 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 1 | 4 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 17 | 16:00 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 5 | 0 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 19 | 15:53 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 18 | 15:02 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 9 | 0 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 17 | 14:48 | 0:52 | 2:27 | 0 | 0 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 14:40 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 0 | 2 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 19 | 14:38 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 16 | 14:06 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 13:10 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Travis MitchellNYI | 19 | 11:58 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 16 | 11:36 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 14 | 11:36 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 7 | 0 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 13 | 11:32 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Steven SantiniTBL | 12 | 10:43 | 0:54 | 2:27 | 0 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 15 | 10:37 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 10:23 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 14 | 9:27 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 12 | 9:01 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 10 | 7:31 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 6 | 4:27 | 0:45 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |