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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 4, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Colorado Avalanche 3, New York Islanders 6

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

New York Islanders

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Toews, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:07Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Lee, saved by Blackwood
  6. P1 4:03Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:50Shot by Pulock, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 5:54Shot by MacLean, saved by Blackwood
  9. P1 5:56Goal by MacLean (Pulock, Gatcomb)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Kiviranta, Bardakov

  10. P1 5:56Bardakov: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Kiviranta, Bardakov

  11. P1 6:40Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood5v4
  12. P1 6:41Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood5v4
  13. P1 6:41Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood5v4
  14. P1 6:42Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood5v4
  15. P1 6:42Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood5v4
  16. P1 9:10Shot by Horvat, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 9:59Shot by Landeskog, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 10:18Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 10:24Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood
  20. P1 10:50Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Blackwood
  21. P1 12:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 12:08Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 12:09Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 12:35Necas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  25. P1 14:03Shot by Lee, saved by Blackwood5v4
  26. P1 14:27Shot by Heineman, saved by Blackwood5v4
  27. P1 14:43Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 14:46Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Sorokin
  29. P1 14:49Shot by Girard, saved by Sorokin
  30. P1 15:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin
  31. P1 16:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Sorokin
  32. P1 17:36Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin
  33. P1 17:37Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin
  34. P1 18:00Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin
  35. P1 18:07Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  36. P1 18:20Goal by Lee (Barzal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Tsyplakov · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Girard, Colton, Malinski

  37. P1 19:15Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  38. P1 19:33Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 1:00Shot by Pulock, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 1:16Lehkonen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  43. P2 1:24Shot by Schaefer, saved by Blackwood5v4
  44. P2 1:47Barzal: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury

  45. P2 2:52Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin4v4
  46. P2 4:13Shot by Barzal, saved by Blackwood
  47. P2 4:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 5:35Shot by Mayfield, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 6:04Shot by Lee, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 6:52Shot by Horvat, saved by Blackwood
  51. P2 6:56Shot by Schaefer, saved by Blackwood
  52. P2 6:58Goal by Horvat (Schaefer, Pulock)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas

  53. P2 7:59Goal by Pelech (Barzal, Lee)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Tsyplakov · COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Makar

  54. P2 8:14Shot by Barzal, saved by Blackwood
  55. P2 8:39Goal by Nichushkin (Malinski, Nelson)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Tsyplakov · COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Malinski

  56. P2 8:47Shot by Toews, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 9:49Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Blackwood
  58. P2 10:04Goal by Necas (Olofsson, Burns)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Duclair, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Mitchell · COL Burns, Manson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas

  59. P2 11:03Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Blackwood
  60. P2 11:52Shot by Makar, saved by Sorokin
  61. P2 14:35Shot by Horvat, saved by Blackwood
  62. P2 15:08Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sorokin
  63. P2 17:38Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Sorokin
  64. P2 18:10Shot by Shabanov, saved by Blackwood
  65. P2 18:12Makar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Shabanov · COL Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Makar, Malinski

  66. P2 18:46Goal by Barzal (Shabanov, Horvat)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury

  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 1:18Shot by Makar, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 1:27Goal by Lehkonen (Makar, Necas)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  71. P3 2:47Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 2:52Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 4:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 5:33Shot by Landeskog, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 5:53Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 6:04Shot by Shabanov, saved by Blackwood
  77. P3 7:47Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 8:11Schaefer: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Nichushkin

  79. P3 8:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Blackwood4v5
  80. P3 9:24Shot by Heineman, saved by Blackwood4v5
  81. P3 10:14Shot by Toews, saved by Sorokin
  82. P3 13:09Shot by Duclair, saved by Blackwood
  83. P3 14:20Shot by MacLean, saved by Blackwood
  84. P3 14:27Shot by Heineman, saved by Blackwood
  85. P3 15:50Shot by Schaefer, saved by Blackwood
  86. P3 16:06Shot by Kelly, saved by Sorokin
  87. P3 16:42Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Holmstrom, Heineman · COL Landeskog, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar

  88. P3 16:47Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sorokin4v6
  89. P3 17:09Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin4v6
  90. P3 18:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin4v6
  91. P3 18:45Goal by Cizikas, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, Heineman, Schaefer · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Colton, Necas, Makar

  92. P3 19:29Shot by Barzal, saved by Blackwood
  93. P3 0:00Manson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Duclair, DeAngelo, MacLean, Ritchie · COL Burns, Manson, Nichushkin, Kelly, Drury

  94. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  95. P3 0:00Final5v4