Thu, Dec 4, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Colorado Avalanche 3, New York Islanders 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
55%
30%
NYI winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:09 | 0.20 | 70.0% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22:10 | 0.65 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.02 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.49 | 62.4% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.62 | 61.7% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.04 | 48.4% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.06 | 40.8% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.35 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.08 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.12 | 60.7% | +3.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.24 | 64.9% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.26 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.03 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.06 | 41.8% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:56 | 0.20 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:34 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.03 | −1.0 | 57:37 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:41 | 0.32 | 38.2% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.12 | 38.6% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.05 | 57.3% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 20:40 | 0.15 | 69.8% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:29 | 0.54 | 25.8% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.54 | 64.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.11 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.17 | 28.0% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.05 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:03 | 0.20 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.23 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 13:36 | 1.18 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:05 | 0.37 | 58.3% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.47 | 71.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 80.8% | +15.7 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.61 | +0.6 | 60:00 |