Thu, Dec 4, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Colorado Avalanche 3, New York Islanders 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
55%
30%
NYI winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas | Nelson–Landeskog–Colton | Nelson–Nichushkin–Colton | Nichushkin–Olofsson–Drury | Olofsson–Kelly–Drury | Kelly–Kiviranta–Bardakov | Nelson–Landeskog–Nichushkin | Kelly–Drury–Kiviranta | Landeskog–Lehkonen–MacKinnon | Nelson–Landeskog–Lehkonen | Nelson–MacKinnon–Nichushkin | Toews–Makar | Girard–Malinski | Burns–Manson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Barzal–Tsyplakov | 1:270.28–0.00 | 3:560.17–0.18 | 2:250.09–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.07 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 4:250.30–0.28 | 4:540.33–0.08 | |||||||
| Horvat–Heineman–Shabanov | 6:560.50–1.37 | 2:000.06–0.11 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 7:280.17–1.42 | 1:510.05–0.06 | 1:090.34–0.31 | ||||||||
| Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 2:280.41–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:260.41–0.00 | 2:330.03–0.09 | 2:250.00–0.01 | |||||
| Duclair–Holmstrom–Ritchie | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:580.05–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.12 | 1:380.01–0.19 | 2:430.03–0.13 | 1:510.11–0.17 | |||||||
| Pulock–Schaefer | 5:440.48–0.76 | 1:060.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 1:410.00–0.11 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 7:480.54–0.81 | 2:580.04–0.14 | 2:490.41–0.42 | |||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 1:000.02–0.00 | 2:500.17–0.13 | 2:570.09–0.17 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 1:070.08–0.01 | 2:210.03–0.02 | 4:280.23–0.41 | 4:400.34–0.04 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Mitchell | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.05 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:590.00–0.02 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 2:060.01–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.05 | 2:330.11–0.22 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:520.12–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| DeAngelo–Schaefer | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Pulock | 0:570.28–0.00 | 0:360.28–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Schaefer | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pulock–Mitchell | 0:430.00–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||
| Pulock–DeAngelo | 0:430.00–0.61 | 0:520.00–0.61 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYICOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 26 | 25:41 | 0:59 | 2:51 | 4 | 0 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 29 | 24:27 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 1 | 4 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 24 | 23:09 | 0:58 | 2:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 31 | 22:20 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 23 | 22:10 | 0:58 | 2:23 | 5 | 3 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 25 | 21:17 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 23 | 20:40 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 6 | 2 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 19 | 20:04 | 1:03 | 2:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 21 | 19:31 | 0:56 | 2:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 22 | 19:29 | 0:53 | 2:06 | 3 | 5 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 24 | 18:42 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 24 | 18:25 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 1 | 4 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 22 | 18:02 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 21 | 17:58 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 23 | 17:51 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 21 | 17:40 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 22 | 16:53 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 25 | 16:25 | 0:39 | 2:02 | 0 | 6 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 23 | 16:23 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 19 | 16:19 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 17 | 16:06 | 0:57 | 2:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 26 | 15:10 | 0:35 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 20 | 15:09 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 22 | 15:03 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 19 | 13:54 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 23 | 13:36 | 0:35 | 1:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 18 | 13:07 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonCOL | 16 | 12:49 | 0:48 | 2:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 19 | 12:34 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 21 | 12:16 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 18 | 12:05 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 19 | 11:20 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Travis MitchellNYI | 15 | 10:12 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 2 | 3 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 16 | 9:32 | 0:36 | 0:48 | 2 | 0 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 14 | 8:56 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Zakhar BardakovCOL | 7 | 4:34 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 1 | 1 |