Sun, Dec 7, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 57% of the time.
33%
9%
10%
47%
PHI winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:51 | 0.14 | 42.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22:53 | 0.40 | 50.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.25 | 50.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.19 | 49.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.32 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.19 | 36.1% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.27 | 34.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.16 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.11 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.13 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.03 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.08 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.09 | 38.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.04 | 47.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:21 | 0.15 | 42.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:45 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:53 | 0.01 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:16 | 0.02 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:10 | 0.06 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.09 | 60.2% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 20:40 | 0.54 | 68.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.37 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.45 | 68.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.21 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.09 | 33.9% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.03 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.03 | 34.2% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.02 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.03 | 49.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.17 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.01 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.56 | −0.4 | 58:09 |