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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Montréal Canadiens 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.

PIT winsMTL wins

Montréal Canadiens

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mike MathesonD · #8000−1225:470.1463.0%0.0
Nick SuzukiC · #14011−1423:020.5477.8%+7.8
Lane HutsonD · #48022+3222:150.0781.9%+23.2
Alexandre CarrierD · #45000−1021:400.0472.4%0.0
Noah DobsonD · #53000+3221:380.0674.9%0.0
Oliver KapanenC · #91101+1419:030.4375.7%+7.0
Cole CaufieldRW · #13101−1418:120.3372.6%+7.8
Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20022+2018:060.0076.3%+22.3
Josh AndersonRW · #17000+1216:290.0667.3%0.0
Zachary BolducRW · #76000−1316:260.5176.6%0.0
Jayden StrubleD · #470000013:200.0547.1%0.0
Ivan DemidovRW · #93011+1012:430.0079.1%+7.0
Alexandre TexierLW · #85101+1112:320.1268.9%+14.8
Joseph VelenoC · #90000+1012:200.0048.7%0.0
Adam EngstromD · #420000011:300.0046.2%0.0
Brendan GallagherRW · #11101+129:570.1742.0%+15.4
Owen BeckC · #62000+129:080.3562.6%0.0
Jared DavidsonC · #49000015:440.1645.5%0.0
Jacob Fowler#32W38362.9473.41+1.459:51

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #651010527:220.2340.1%+2.0
Bryan RustRW · #171120525:350.4929.8%+8.9
Sidney CrosbyC · #870110724:290.7343.5%+6.8
Kris LetangD · #58011−2121:590.054.7%+2.0
Ben KindelC · #81000−1721:240.4929.0%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #280000018:590.0630.6%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #39000−1418:360.4922.3%0.0
Ryan SheaD · #5000−2016:250.005.1%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #180110215:240.2535.3%+6.8
Ville KoivunenRW · #41000−1013:250.0041.0%0.0
Connor DewarC · #190000013:200.0315.3%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #550000013:110.0411.8%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #750000013:060.0053.9%0.0
Ryan GravesD · #270000112:590.0152.6%0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #13000−1211:530.2023.2%0.0
Rutger McGroartyRW · #2000−1310:240.3041.3%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #16000−1110:110.0631.9%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #430000010:100.0011.8%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35L29254.8623.06−0.956:00