Thu, Dec 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Montréal Canadiens 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
9%
35%
PIT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:47 | 0.14 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:02 | 0.54 | 77.8% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.07 | 81.9% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.04 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.06 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.43 | 75.7% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:12 | 0.33 | 72.6% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 76.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.06 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.51 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.05 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 79.1% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.12 | 68.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:57 | 0.17 | 42.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.35 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:44 | 0.16 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.41 | +1.4 | 59:51 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:22 | 0.23 | 40.1% | +2.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25:35 | 0.49 | 29.8% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24:29 | 0.73 | 43.5% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.05 | 4.7% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 21:24 | 0.49 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.06 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.49 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 5.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.25 | 35.3% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.03 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.04 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.20 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:24 | 0.30 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.06 | −0.9 | 56:00 |