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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

San Jose Sharks 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.

PIT winsSJS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kurashev–Smith–CelebriniToffoli–Wennberg–GrafSkinner–Dellandrea–EklundReaves–Goodrow–GaudetteSkinner–Smith–CelebriniSkinner–Celebrini–GrafToffoli–Wennberg–EklundReaves–Goodrow–DellandreaGaudette–Dellandrea–EklundEklund–Smith–CelebriniOrlov–KlingbergLeddy–FerraroIorio–DickinsonOrlov–FerraroFerraro–Dickinson
Mantha–Novak–Koivunen0:540.00–0.060:350.01–0.002:120.23–0.100:560.00–0.190:340.00–0.170:530.02–0.001:040.09–0.001:310.03–0.193:040.05–0.174:010.32–0.16
Crosby–Rust–Rakell2:190.00–0.001:410.04–0.041:220.01–0.030:520.00–0.004:080.04–0.053:330.05–0.17
Hayes–Acciari–Dewar0:500.00–0.020:460.00–0.000:300.20–0.090:420.00–0.200:390.00–0.003:160.19–0.221:080.20–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Brazeau–McGroarty–Kindel1:070.00–0.302:480.21–0.010:410.03–0.072:520.06–0.131:180.05–0.002:230.37–0.25
Novak–McGroarty–Kindel
Mantha–Novak–McGroarty0:360.03–0.00
Letang–Shea2:360.00–0.023:250.21–0.041:250.01–0.030:430.00–0.003:460.00–0.053:050.26–0.002:430.16–0.140:490.00–0.00
Clifton–Graves1:010.01–0.002:290.23–0.001:540.00–0.290:320.00–0.170:540.02–0.002:380.05–0.254:340.05–0.253:240.47–0.00
Karlsson–Wotherspoon3:020.00–0.141:230.04–0.060:310.24–0.001:400.05–0.001:000.04–0.000:420.00–0.185:410.22–0.352:060.04–0.172:180.24–0.070:330.07–0.00
Karlsson–Shea0:590.09–0.000:590.09–0.00
Graves–Shea0:570.01–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRust FRakell FCrosby FBrazeau FKindel FMcGroarty FMantha FNovak FKoivunen FAcciari FDewar FHayes FShea DLetang DWotherspoon DKarlsson DClifton DGraves DSilovs GWennberg FGraf FToffoli FSmith FCelebrini FKurashev FDellandrea FSkinner FEklund FReaves FGoodrow FGaudette FLeddy DFerraro DOrlov DKlingberg DDickinson DIorio DAskarov G
PITSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT2729:211:052:1655
Macklin CelebriniSJS2227:141:143:1032
John KlingbergSJS2324:341:043:1134
Alexander WennbergSJS2623:340:542:2784
Dmitry OrlovSJS2422:410:571:4615
William EklundSJS2322:290:593:0672
Sidney CrosbyPIT2322:270:593:0042
Rickard RakellPIT2222:131:012:1362
Bryan RustPIT2221:450:592:5943
Mario FerraroSJS2221:100:582:3925
Ryan SheaPIT2120:370:592:1414
Kris LetangPIT2219:570:541:4434
Parker WotherspoonPIT1919:521:031:5416
Collin GrafSJS2219:170:532:0445
Anthony ManthaPIT1718:501:062:1840
Ben KindelPIT2216:540:461:2622
Vincent IorioSJS2016:510:512:0715
Tyler ToffoliSJS1816:170:543:3261
Ty DellandreaSJS2115:130:432:0408
Will SmithSJS1614:590:561:1831
Jeff SkinnerSJS1814:460:491:5444
Nick LeddySJS2014:340:441:0624
Sam DickinsonSJS1814:310:481:4811
Ryan GravesPIT2014:230:431:1121
Noel AcciariPIT1713:240:472:0826
Connor CliftonPIT1913:120:421:2221
Tommy NovakPIT1512:400:511:2130
Rutger McGroartyPIT1712:260:441:1704
Ville KoivunenPIT1311:460:541:4330
Connor DewarPIT1710:400:381:0825
Barclay GoodrowSJS169:560:371:1204
Justin BrazeauPIT159:240:381:1412
Kevin HayesPIT159:190:371:0712
Adam GaudetteSJS148:230:361:1513
Philipp KurashevSJS88:031:001:1300
Ryan ReavesSJS96:280:431:4013