Mon, Dec 15, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:08Shot by Greer, saved by Johansson
- P1 1:41Mikkola: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Jones, Bennett, Mikkola
- P1 2:16Goal by Reinhart (Ekblad)5v4+15 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Lundell, Balinskis
- P1 2:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P1 3:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P1 3:48Goal by Lundell (Balinskis, Jones)+12 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel · FLA Petry, Reinhart, Mikkola, Lundell, Balinskis
- P1 5:02Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Johansson
- P1 5:44Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 7:30Shot by Douglas, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 7:51Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 8:40Raddysh: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell
- P1 8:47Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johansson4v5
- P1 9:43Shot by Jones, saved by Johansson4v5
- P1 11:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 11:17Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 12:15Shot by D'Astous, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 14:37Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 14:59Shot by Carlile, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 15:21Shot by D'Astous, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 16:12Shot by Holmberg, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 18:01Shot by Greer, saved by Johansson
- P1 18:03Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Johansson
- P1 18:27Shot by Hagel, saved by Bobrovsky
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:06Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
- P2 3:19Shot by Carlile, saved by Bobrovsky
- P2 3:36Shot by Petry, saved by Johansson
- P2 3:47Shot by Petry, saved by Johansson
- P2 4:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Johansson
- P2 4:43Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Johansson
- P2 4:46D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Jones, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich
- P2 4:46Marchand: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Jones, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich
- P2 4:46Crozier: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Jones, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich
- P2 5:51Shot by Bennett, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 5:56Shot by Jones, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 6:13Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 6:15Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 7:03Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Johansson
- P2 8:05Forsling: Interference (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Jones, Forsling, Rodrigues
- P2 8:46Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P2 11:48Goal by Marchand (Verhaeghe, Ekblad)+8 pts WP
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, D'Astous, Douglas, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Petry, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett
- P2 12:38Forsling: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Santini, Holmberg, Moser · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich
- P2 14:14Shot by Hagel, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P2 16:35Douglas: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, D'Astous, Douglas, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Petry, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Balinskis
- P2 17:00Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 17:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 18:08Goal by Reinhart (Samoskevich)4v5+3 pts WP
On ice: TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Reinhart, Lundell, Samoskevich
- P2 19:27Goal by Crozier (Bjorkstrand, Point)+3 pts WP
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Crozier, Moser · FLA Petry, Boqvist, Studnicka, Luostarinen, Balinskis
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:28Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 0:44Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 1:23Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 1:31Shot by Bennett, saved by Johansson
- P3 2:11Goal by Moser (Point, Raddysh)+8 pts WP
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Moser · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Gregor, Boqvist, Studnicka
- P3 2:11Boqvist: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Moser · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Gregor, Boqvist, Studnicka
- P3 2:35Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P3 3:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
- P3 3:52Guentzel: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Mikkola, Lundell
- P3 3:52Mikkola: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Mikkola, Lundell
- P3 4:14Shot by Reinhart, saved by Johansson
- P3 4:59Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 6:37Goal by Verhaeghe (Balinskis)+6 pts WP
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier · FLA Marchand, Petry, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Balinskis
- P3 9:44Shot by Crozier, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 10:15Shot by Moser, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 14:18Rodrigues: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Crozier, Carlile · FLA Ekblad, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich
- P3 15:28Kucherov: Interference (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Luostarinen, Balinskis
- P3 15:28Balinskis: Embellishment (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Luostarinen, Balinskis
- P3 16:51Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
- P3 19:05Gourde: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier · FLA Petry, Jones, Greer, Gregor, Luostarinen
- P3 0:00Period end4v5
- P3 0:00Final4v5