Mon, Dec 15, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
11%
37%
TBL winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Greer–Rodrigues–Samoskevich | Reinhart–Luostarinen–Lundell | Marchand–Verhaeghe–Bennett | Gregor–Boqvist–Studnicka | Petry–Balinskis | Ekblad–Forsling | Jones–Mikkola | Jones–Ekblad | Ekblad–Mikkola | Petry–Jones | Jones–Balinskis | Petry–Mikkola | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 1:560.00–0.08 | 5:100.13–0.00 | 4:230.08–0.21 | 1:550.05–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.06 | 1:290.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sabourin–Paul–Douglas | 2:260.03–0.00 | 3:430.14–0.10 | 1:320.04–0.00 | 3:060.07–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 2:300.14–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||
| Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point | 2:070.07–0.21 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:320.06–0.00 | 0:320.08–0.01 | 2:080.08–0.04 | 1:460.08–0.00 | 2:040.05–0.14 | 0:420.03–0.00 | ||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 2:420.04–0.38 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:180.05–0.38 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:380.29–0.00 | |||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.18–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:590.18–0.00 | |||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Cirelli | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:040.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| D'Astous–Crozier | 3:500.05–0.20 | 5:090.17–0.29 | 3:130.08–0.19 | 2:040.00–0.00 | 4:260.13–0.20 | 1:110.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 2:200.04–0.02 | 5:540.13–0.00 | 1:520.03–0.00 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 3:210.08–0.02 | 4:080.15–0.00 | 1:560.06–0.00 | 1:170.04–0.00 | 0:520.03–0.00 | |||
| Santini–Carlile | 4:260.05–0.44 | 2:220.01–0.01 | 3:010.03–0.04 | 2:020.03–0.43 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||
| Crozier–Carlile | 0:550.04–0.00 | 0:350.18–0.00 | 0:450.18–0.00 | |||||||||
| Crozier–Moser | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Santini–Moser | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Santini–D'Astous | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.29–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Seth JonesFLA | 30 | 26:14 | 0:52 | 2:05 | 2 | 6 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 24 | 24:56 | 1:02 | 3:01 | 5 | 3 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 33 | 23:06 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 2 | 10 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 31 | 22:19 | 0:43 | 2:25 | 2 | 7 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 24 | 21:50 | 0:55 | 2:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 20:41 | 0:56 | 2:47 | 7 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 20:24 | 0:58 | 2:18 | 6 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 25 | 19:59 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 2 | 2 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 31 | 19:50 | 0:38 | 1:53 | 1 | 7 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 23 | 19:24 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 0 | 7 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 26 | 19:08 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 6 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 18:40 | 0:59 | 2:26 | 8 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 26 | 18:18 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 3 | 8 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 20 | 17:28 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 7 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 25 | 16:53 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 5 | 1 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 23 | 16:42 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 4 | 5 |
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 23 | 16:34 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Jeff PetryFLA | 21 | 16:11 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 21 | 16:04 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 1 | 7 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 15:59 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 8 | 4 |
 Brad MarchandFLA | 25 | 15:55 | 0:38 | 1:42 | 1 | 4 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 26 | 15:24 | 0:36 | 0:57 | 2 | 2 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 23 | 15:02 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 3 | 5 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 19 | 14:57 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 14:53 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 24 | 13:57 | 0:35 | 1:26 | 2 | 6 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 13:33 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 18 | 13:32 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 18 | 13:04 | 0:44 | 1:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 18 | 12:06 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Steven SantiniTBL | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 15 | 9:25 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 3 | 0 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 16 | 9:05 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 15 | 7:59 | 0:32 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Noah GregorFLA | 10 | 6:24 | 0:38 | 1:43 | 0 | 1 |
 Jack StudnickaFLA | 11 | 5:40 | 0:31 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |