Mon, Dec 15, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
11%
37%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:14 | 0.15 | 38.7% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.00 | 50.2% | +23.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 22:19 | 0.48 | 38.5% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.09 | 39.9% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:18 | 0.26 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.20 | 80.2% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 55.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.04 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.12 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.10 | 59.7% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.05 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.20 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.31 | 59.7% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:59 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:24 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:40 | 0.00 | 5.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.13 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:56 | 0.18 | 76.2% | +8.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.09 | 93.9% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.34 | 65.2% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.17 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.04 | 49.5% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.31 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.13 | 49.3% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.22 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.18 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.10 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.06 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.13 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.07 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.01 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.08 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.01 | −3.0 | 59:56 |