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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 15, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Ottawa Senators 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.

WPG winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Batherson–CozensGiroux–Amadio–GreigZetterlund–Tkachuk–StützleCousins–MacDermid–HallidayGiroux–Zetterlund–GreigAmadio–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–Tkachuk–StützleSanderson–ZubSpence–KlevenJensen–MatinpaloSpence–SandersonJensen–KlevenKleven–ZubJensen–Sanderson
Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi0:580.03–0.003:250.00–0.301:570.01–0.171:480.07–0.005:050.15–0.343:460.01–0.091:550.00–0.190:370.03–0.000:300.00–0.000:460.23–0.00
Lowry–Iafallo–Barron5:190.10–0.632:230.11–0.002:260.14–0.402:540.00–0.021:120.01–0.211:580.10–0.001:040.00–0.18
Niederreiter–Namestnikov–Perfetti1:460.07–0.002:500.00–0.001:050.18–0.001:010.00–0.010:300.00–0.060:300.00–0.001:380.00–0.052:150.00–0.064:100.47–0.040:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Toews–Nyquist–Koepke0:400.00–0.021:340.00–0.040:350.00–0.002:120.05–0.060:460.00–0.002:240.18–0.000:410.00–0.00
Scheifele–Connor–Perfetti0:430.00–0.220:490.06–0.22
DeMelo–Morrissey1:300.07–0.212:070.01–0.212:550.02–0.101:450.07–0.011:570.09–0.275:320.17–0.232:320.01–0.273:570.07–0.291:220.01–0.001:140.00–0.181:010.23–0.00
Samberg–Pionk6:190.13–0.022:220.00–0.000:480.14–0.000:320.00–0.004:000.22–0.164:540.00–0.021:260.18–0.001:220.13–0.000:330.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Schenn–Stanley1:180.01–0.002:470.18–0.130:330.00–0.041:020.00–0.002:110.03–0.101:050.00–0.083:530.41–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley0:460.04–0.040:330.00–0.00
Morrissey–Pionk0:410.00–0.081:020.00–0.090:360.00–0.090:300.00–0.00
DeMelo–Samberg0:410.00–0.400:380.00–0.000:500.00–0.400:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndNamestnikov FNiederreiter FPerfetti FVilardi FScheifele FConnor FIafallo FLowry FBarron FKoepke FToews FNyquist FPionk DSamberg DMorrissey DDeMelo DStanley DSchenn DHellebuyck GAmadio FGiroux FGreig FZetterlund FStützle FTkachuk FBatherson FCozens FPerron FMacDermid FCousins FHalliday FJensen DMatinpalo DZub DSanderson DKleven DSpence DUllmark G
WPGOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT3029:140:582:2044
Neal PionkWPG3124:420:482:1446
Josh MorrisseyWPG2924:300:511:4332
Tim StützleOTT2923:460:492:1624
Dylan DeMeloWPG2923:410:491:5943
Dylan SambergWPG2722:240:502:3436
Artem ZubOTT2421:160:531:4815
Brady TkachukOTT2521:060:512:1632
Mark ScheifeleWPG2220:450:571:4741
Kyle ConnorWPG2220:410:561:4841
Claude GirouxOTT3019:160:391:23110
Jordan SpenceOTT2519:150:461:1330
Drake BathersonOTT2118:170:522:1061
Tyler KlevenOTT2418:130:461:1312
Dylan CozensOTT2317:490:462:1572
Gabriel VilardiWPG2017:190:521:2741
Ridly GreigOTT2716:390:371:1217
Fabian ZetterlundOTT2416:030:401:2703
Michael AmadioOTT2616:020:371:1713
Cole PerfettiWPG1815:560:531:3010
Morgan BarronWPG2015:400:472:1548
Adam LowryWPG2114:520:421:0955
Nick JensenOTT2214:290:401:3801
David PerronOTT2014:250:430:5931
Nino NiederreiterWPG1713:380:481:1010
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1713:310:481:0810
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2013:300:411:2601
Alex IafalloWPG2013:230:400:5944
Logan StanleyWPG1913:140:421:3130
Gustav NyquistWPG1712:580:461:0560
Cole KoepkeWPG1512:120:492:1443
Jonathan ToewsWPG1410:510:471:3440
Luke SchennWPG1710:160:361:0420
Stephen HallidayOTT159:290:381:1800
Nick CousinsOTT159:040:361:1802
Kurtis MacDermidOTT105:230:321:1000