Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 55% of the time.
45%
10%
9%
36%
MTL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.05 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.04 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:18 | 0.53 | 66.5% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 20.8% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.22 | 68.8% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.67 | 28.4% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.15 | 30.8% | +0.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.19 | 30.0% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.19 | 24.5% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.16 | 51.2% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.16 | 30.4% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.02 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.03 | 14.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.68 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 27:06 | 0.11 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:58 | 0.19 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.22 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.01 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.15 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.20 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.06 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.33 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.01 | 95.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 71.2% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.43 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.42 | 72.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.11 | 68.9% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:42 | 0.37 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.03 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.89 | −1.1 | 58:09 |