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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul

Washington Capitals 0, Minnesota Wild 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.

MIN winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Milano–Lapierre–FrankWilson–Protas–SourdifDowd–Duhaime–McMichaelOvechkin–Strome–BeauvillierWilson–McMichael–ProtasOvechkin–Strome–SourdifDowd–Beauvillier–DuhaimeRoy–Chychrunvan Riemsdyk–SandinCarlson–Fehérváryvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryCarlson–SandinCarlson–ChychrunRoy–Sandin
Foligno–Hartman–Aube-Kubel2:040.00–0.001:130.11–0.061:550.03–0.012:090.32–0.090:480.00–0.061:100.06–0.002:570.36–0.152:310.10–0.081:470.01–0.011:240.00–0.001:090.00–0.060:460.06–0.00
Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy0:320.00–0.032:440.09–0.062:050.00–0.030:500.00–0.001:540.09–0.002:530.17–0.002:100.07–0.213:260.01–0.030:350.00–0.03
Tarasenko–Trenin–Yurov2:490.00–0.180:550.00–0.000:510.05–0.001:120.17–0.411:220.00–0.002:450.11–0.071:300.11–0.001:470.00–0.592:050.05–0.00
Pitlick–Jones–Sturm1:360.19–0.001:420.00–0.041:040.00–0.000:560.00–0.191:390.11–0.093:510.21–0.201:560.00–0.091:080.00–0.090:500.09–0.00
Tarasenko–Kaprizov–Yurov0:410.00–0.00
Hughes–Faber1:440.00–0.002:460.09–0.064:080.07–0.211:480.26–0.082:330.09–0.061:130.06–0.001:090.13–0.094:490.38–0.222:300.17–0.005:420.02–0.302:100.09–0.001:340.05–0.061:040.06–0.00
Kiersted–Jiricek5:020.00–0.210:340.02–0.002:230.02–0.001:150.00–0.141:280.00–0.180:390.00–0.000:380.00–0.03
Spurgeon–Jiricek0:550.19–0.000:380.00–0.061:570.01–0.001:270.00–0.211:110.01–0.00
Spurgeon–Kiersted0:480.13–0.001:130.14–0.410:380.00–0.262:460.27–0.260:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.41
Spurgeon–Hunt1:410.00–0.040:310.00–0.000:520.00–0.011:350.00–0.03
Spurgeon–Hughes0:480.00–0.000:380.00–0.011:030.01–0.010:400.00–0.00
Spurgeon–Faber1:050.09–0.001:030.10–0.00
Hughes–Kiersted0:590.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Faber–Kiersted0:560.00–0.190:560.00–0.19
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoldy FEriksson Ek FKaprizov FAube-Kubel FFoligno FHartman FYurov FTarasenko FTrenin FPitlick FSturm FJones FFaber DHughes DSpurgeon DHunt DKiersted DJiricek DGustavsson GDuhaime FMcMichael FDowd FProtas FSourdif FWilson FOvechkin FBeauvillier FStrome FMilano FLapierre FFrank FRoy DChychrun DCarlson DFehérváry Dvan Riemsdyk DSandin DLindgren G
MINWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Quinn HughesMIN2929:331:012:0822
Brock FaberMIN3028:100:561:3315
Jared SpurgeonMIN2723:220:521:1921
John CarlsonWSH2022:101:071:4123
Jakob ChychrunWSH2021:181:042:1042
Matt RoyWSH2021:071:031:5014
Matt BoldyMIN1919:491:032:5252
Kirill KaprizovMIN1918:150:582:5242
Rasmus SandinWSH1917:570:571:3212
Connor McMichaelWSH2517:400:421:2825
Joel Eriksson EkMIN1817:290:582:5853
Martin FehérváryWSH1917:290:551:3613
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2117:220:501:2814
Justin SourdifWSH2217:170:471:3233
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH1916:490:531:4824
Ryan HartmanMIN1716:370:591:4323
Tom WilsonWSH2116:250:471:3027
Matt KierstedMIN1916:160:511:3632
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN1616:011:001:3451
Marcus FolignoMIN1815:180:511:1923
Dylan StromeWSH2015:170:461:1763
Alex OvechkinWSH1815:120:512:0170
Danila YurovMIN1815:020:501:3031
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1914:310:461:4205
Nicolas Aube-KubelMIN1514:170:571:4423
Yakov TreninMIN1514:150:571:3121
David JiricekMIN1714:110:501:3713
Nic DowdWSH2014:100:431:2007
Ethen FrankWSH1713:140:471:1331
Nico SturmMIN1512:470:511:3412
Anthony BeauvillierWSH1812:350:421:2543
Sonny MilanoWSH1611:560:451:1711
Ben JonesMIN1211:180:572:0221
Hendrix LapierreWSH1410:330:451:0521
Tyler PitlickMIN129:360:481:2822
Daemon HuntMIN53:440:451:1910