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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 17, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Utah Mammoth 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Utah Mammoth

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Cole, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 1:48Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 2:26Shot by But, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 2:51Shot by Durzi, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 6:36Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 6:43Shot by Kasper, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 6:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:09Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 10:39Shot by Guenther, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 11:06Hayton: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · UTA Cole, Crouse, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther

  12. P1 11:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  14. P1 14:53Shot by Durzi, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 15:11Shot by Keller, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 15:19Shot by Finnie, saved by Vejmelka
  17. P1 15:36Shot by O'Brien, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 17:08Shot by Copp, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 17:17Shot by Copp, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 17:49Shot by Copp, saved by Vejmelka
  21. P1 19:44Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vejmelka
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:51Shot by Durzi, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 0:58Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 1:41Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 1:44Goal by Keller (Schmaltz, Peterka)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, DeSimone, Peterka

  28. P2 2:03Shot by Kasper, saved by Vejmelka
  29. P2 2:08Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P2 2:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka
  31. P2 4:02Shot by Seider, saved by Vejmelka
  32. P2 4:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 4:59Shot by Seider, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 6:35Edvinsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · UTA Cole, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain, But

  35. P2 8:27Shot by Durzi, saved by Talbot4v5
  36. P2 8:54Shot by But, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 9:12Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 9:19Keller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi, Peterka

  39. P2 11:55Hayton: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Seider, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Kasper · UTA Schmidt, Marino, Hayton, Peterka, Guenther

  40. P2 12:27Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  41. P2 13:28Shot by Finnie, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  42. P2 13:39Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  43. P2 14:17Goal by McBain (Carcone, Durzi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Soderblom, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · UTA Carcone, DeSimone, Durzi, McBain, But

  44. P2 15:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P2 15:42Shot by DeSimone, saved by Talbot
  46. P2 17:23Shot by Kasper, saved by Vejmelka
  47. P2 17:45Soderblom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Finnie · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, But

  48. P2 19:15Seider: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper, Finnie · UTA Crouse, Carcone, Durzi, Hayton, But

  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:31Shot by Carcone, saved by Talbot4v5
  52. P3 2:20Shot by Guenther, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 2:52Shot by McBain, saved by Talbot5v6
  54. P3 2:54Compher: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Rasmussen, Seider, Edvinsson · UTA Cole, Keller, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain, But

  55. P3 7:33Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 8:12Crouse: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther

  57. P3 8:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  58. P3 9:15Shot by Marino, saved by Talbot5v4
  59. P3 9:55Goal by Finnie (Leonard)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Leonard, Danielson, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Stenlund, Sergachev

  60. P3 10:31Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 15:26Shot by Guenther, saved by Talbot
  62. P3 15:49Shot by Hayton, saved by Talbot
  63. P3 15:52Goal by Guenther, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther

  64. P3 16:14Shot by Keller, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 16:23Goal by Stenlund (Keller, Sergachev)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Kasper, Danielson · UTA Schmaltz, Stenlund, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi

  66. P3 16:43Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vejmelka
  67. P3 17:05Shot by Durzi, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 18:15Shot by Hayton, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 19:53Shot by But, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final