Wed, Dec 17, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Utah Mammoth 4, Detroit Red Wings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 54% of the time.
36%
9%
10%
45%
DET winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:32 | 0.00 | 73.3% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.13 | 73.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.01 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:10 | 0.22 | 67.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:51 | 0.04 | 88.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:03 | 0.44 | 83.9% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.47 | 69.4% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.14 | 64.0% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.25 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.15 | 48.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 69.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.26 | 51.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.16 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.04 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.13 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.11 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.35 | +1.3 | 59:57 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.11 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.14 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.23 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:25 | 0.27 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.68 | 19.7% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 15:01 | 0.45 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.04 | 40.5% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.18 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:15 | 0.12 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.02 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.55 | −1.4 | 60:00 |