Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Pittsburgh Penguins 0, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
55%
9%
9%
27%
OTT winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.01 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.06 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.14 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.01 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 18:52 | 0.75 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.08 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.23 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.01 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.04 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.03 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.26 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.06 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.05 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.04 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.17 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.78 | −1.2 | 59:53 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.06 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.01 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.56 | 87.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.17 | 41.6% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.04 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.12 | 78.8% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.13 | 57.4% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.15 | 57.3% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 78.1% | +13.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:02 | 0.78 | 90.1% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 33.4% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.24 | 37.1% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.17 | 66.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.19 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.05 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:12 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 25 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.03 | +2.0 | 60:00 |